STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting

Sea ice forecasting remains a challenging topic due to the complexity of understanding its driving forces and modeling its dynamics. This article contributes to the expanding literature by developing a data-driven, artificial intelligence (AI)-based solution for forecasting sea ice concentration in...

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Main Authors: Sizhe Wang, Wenwen Li, Chia-Yu Hsu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10848183/
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author Sizhe Wang
Wenwen Li
Chia-Yu Hsu
author_facet Sizhe Wang
Wenwen Li
Chia-Yu Hsu
author_sort Sizhe Wang
collection DOAJ
description Sea ice forecasting remains a challenging topic due to the complexity of understanding its driving forces and modeling its dynamics. This article contributes to the expanding literature by developing a data-driven, artificial intelligence (AI)-based solution for forecasting sea ice concentration in the Arctic. Specifically, we introduced STEPNet—a spatial and temporal encoding pipeline capable of handling the temporal heterogeneity of multivariate sea ice drivers, including various climate and environmental factors with varying impacts on sea ice concentration changes. STEPNet employs dedicated encoders designed to effectively mine prominent spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal relationships within the data. It builds on and extends the architecture of vision and temporal transformer architectures to leverage their power in extracting important hidden relationships over long data ranges. The learning pipeline is designed for flexibility and extendibility, enabling easy integration of different encoders to process diverse data characteristics and meet computational demands. A series of ablation studies and comparative experiments were conducted to validate the effectiveness of our architecture design and the superior performance of the proposed STEPNet model compared to other AI solutions and numerical models.
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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series IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
spelling doaj-art-e0cd02a1b4944218ac9c74c26f6e215a2025-02-12T00:00:55ZengIEEEIEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing1939-14042151-15352025-01-01184921493510.1109/JSTARS.2025.353221910848183STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice ForecastingSizhe Wang0Wenwen Li1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2237-9499Chia-Yu Hsu2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8923-1213Spatial Analysis Research Center (SPARC), School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USASpatial Analysis Research Center (SPARC), School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USASpatial Analysis Research Center (SPARC), School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USASea ice forecasting remains a challenging topic due to the complexity of understanding its driving forces and modeling its dynamics. This article contributes to the expanding literature by developing a data-driven, artificial intelligence (AI)-based solution for forecasting sea ice concentration in the Arctic. Specifically, we introduced STEPNet—a spatial and temporal encoding pipeline capable of handling the temporal heterogeneity of multivariate sea ice drivers, including various climate and environmental factors with varying impacts on sea ice concentration changes. STEPNet employs dedicated encoders designed to effectively mine prominent spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal relationships within the data. It builds on and extends the architecture of vision and temporal transformer architectures to leverage their power in extracting important hidden relationships over long data ranges. The learning pipeline is designed for flexibility and extendibility, enabling easy integration of different encoders to process diverse data characteristics and meet computational demands. A series of ablation studies and comparative experiments were conducted to validate the effectiveness of our architecture design and the superior performance of the proposed STEPNet model compared to other AI solutions and numerical models.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10848183/Artificial intelligence (AI)encoderSEAS 5semantic segmentationtemporal heterogeneitytransformer
spellingShingle Sizhe Wang
Wenwen Li
Chia-Yu Hsu
STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting
IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
Artificial intelligence (AI)
encoder
SEAS 5
semantic segmentation
temporal heterogeneity
transformer
title STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting
title_full STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting
title_fullStr STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting
title_short STEPNet: A Spatial and Temporal Encoding Pipeline to Handle Temporal Heterogeneity in Climate Modeling Using AI: A Use Case of Sea Ice Forecasting
title_sort stepnet a spatial and temporal encoding pipeline to handle temporal heterogeneity in climate modeling using ai a use case of sea ice forecasting
topic Artificial intelligence (AI)
encoder
SEAS 5
semantic segmentation
temporal heterogeneity
transformer
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10848183/
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AT chiayuhsu stepnetaspatialandtemporalencodingpipelinetohandletemporalheterogeneityinclimatemodelingusingaiausecaseofseaiceforecasting