A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration

The incompatible insect technique based on Wolbachia is a promising alternative to control mosquito-borne diseases, such as dengue fever, malaria, and Zika, which drives wild female mosquitoes sterility through a mechanism cytoplasmic incompatibility. A successful control program should be able to w...

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Main Authors: Mugen Huang, Zifeng Wang, Zixin Nie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2024-11-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024328
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author Mugen Huang
Zifeng Wang
Zixin Nie
author_facet Mugen Huang
Zifeng Wang
Zixin Nie
author_sort Mugen Huang
collection DOAJ
description The incompatible insect technique based on Wolbachia is a promising alternative to control mosquito-borne diseases, such as dengue fever, malaria, and Zika, which drives wild female mosquitoes sterility through a mechanism cytoplasmic incompatibility. A successful control program should be able to withstand the perturbation induced by the immigration of fertilized females from surrounding uncontrolled areas. In this paper, we formulated a system of delay differential equations, including larval and adult stages, interfered by Wolbachia-infected males. We classified the release number of infected males and immigration number of fertile females, to ensure that the system displays globally asymptotically stable or bistable dynamics. The immigration of fertile females hinders the maximum possible suppression efficiency so that the wild adults cannot be reduced to a level below $ A^*_\infty $. We identified the permitted most migration number to reduce the wild adults to a target level. To reduce up to $ 90\% $ of wild adults in the peak season within two months, an economically viable strategy is to reduce the immigration number of wild females less than $ 0.21\% $ of the carrying capacity of adults in the control area.
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spelling doaj-art-e06f199adbc6420bb5bb99a0dbcf24ec2025-01-23T07:48:07ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182024-11-0121117454747910.3934/mbe.2024328A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigrationMugen Huang0Zifeng Wang1Zixin Nie2School of Statistics and Mathematics, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou 510320, ChinaSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou 510320, ChinaSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou 510320, ChinaThe incompatible insect technique based on Wolbachia is a promising alternative to control mosquito-borne diseases, such as dengue fever, malaria, and Zika, which drives wild female mosquitoes sterility through a mechanism cytoplasmic incompatibility. A successful control program should be able to withstand the perturbation induced by the immigration of fertilized females from surrounding uncontrolled areas. In this paper, we formulated a system of delay differential equations, including larval and adult stages, interfered by Wolbachia-infected males. We classified the release number of infected males and immigration number of fertile females, to ensure that the system displays globally asymptotically stable or bistable dynamics. The immigration of fertile females hinders the maximum possible suppression efficiency so that the wild adults cannot be reduced to a level below $ A^*_\infty $. We identified the permitted most migration number to reduce the wild adults to a target level. To reduce up to $ 90\% $ of wild adults in the peak season within two months, an economically viable strategy is to reduce the immigration number of wild females less than $ 0.21\% $ of the carrying capacity of adults in the control area.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024328dengue feverwolbachiamigrationmosquito population suppressiondelay differential equation model
spellingShingle Mugen Huang
Zifeng Wang
Zixin Nie
A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
dengue fever
wolbachia
migration
mosquito population suppression
delay differential equation model
title A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
title_full A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
title_fullStr A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
title_full_unstemmed A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
title_short A stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
title_sort stage structured model for mosquito suppression with immigration
topic dengue fever
wolbachia
migration
mosquito population suppression
delay differential equation model
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024328
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AT zixinnie astagestructuredmodelformosquitosuppressionwithimmigration
AT mugenhuang stagestructuredmodelformosquitosuppressionwithimmigration
AT zifengwang stagestructuredmodelformosquitosuppressionwithimmigration
AT zixinnie stagestructuredmodelformosquitosuppressionwithimmigration