RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term

BackgroundThere are few studies in the literature evaluating post-COVID mortality in Brazil, along medium and long term, especially in those who presented severe clinical disease.ObjectiveThis study aims to investigate the factors associated with post-COVID mortality of severe acute respiratory synd...

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Main Authors: Nádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues, Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Medicine
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2024.1495428/full
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author Nádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues
Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade
author_facet Nádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues
Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade
author_sort Nádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundThere are few studies in the literature evaluating post-COVID mortality in Brazil, along medium and long term, especially in those who presented severe clinical disease.ObjectiveThis study aims to investigate the factors associated with post-COVID mortality of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases from 2020 to 2023 in Brazil, along medium and long term.MethodsRetrospective cohort study using notification data of SARS classified as COVID-19 from the Brazilian National Information System, “Sistema de Vigilância Epidemiológica (SIVEP),” during the period 2020 to 2023. Data included demographics, comorbidities, vaccination status, number of COVID-19 vaccine doses, city of residence, and survival outcomes. Classic Cox, Cox mixed effects, and Cox fragility models were used to assess medium and long-term risks of dying post-COVID.ResultsIn the medium and long-term periods studied, 5,157 deaths were recorded out of 15,147 reported SARS/COVID-19 cases. Of these deaths, 91.5% (N = 4,720) occurred within the first year, while 8,5% (N = 437) after the first year. People without formal education, the older adult, had higher percentages of deaths in both periods. In the medium-term post-COVID period, the risk of death was reduced by 8% for those who had been vaccinated while in the long-term post-COVID period, the risk of death almost doubled for those who had been vaccinated. While in the medium term, there was a reduction in mortality risk for those who took two or three doses, in the long term the risk of death was greater for those who took one or two doses.ConclusionThe protective effect of COVID-19 immunization was observed up to one year after the first symptoms. After one year, the effect was reversed, showing an increased risk of death for those vaccinated. These results highlight the need for further research to elucidate the factors that contribute to these findings.
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spelling doaj-art-e039a91a8cd04c66bbc947dbbefc3b0f2025-08-20T01:51:57ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Medicine2296-858X2024-12-011110.3389/fmed.2024.14954281495428RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long termNádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues0Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade1Departamento de Epidemiologia e Métodos Quantitativos em Saúde/Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sérgio Arouca/Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro/Brasil and Departamento de Epidemiologia/Instituto de Medicina Social Hesio Cordeiro/Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, BrazilPrograma Academico de Tuberculose/Faculdade de Medicina/Instituto de Doenças do Torax/Hospital Universitário Clementino Fraga Filho/ Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, BrazilBackgroundThere are few studies in the literature evaluating post-COVID mortality in Brazil, along medium and long term, especially in those who presented severe clinical disease.ObjectiveThis study aims to investigate the factors associated with post-COVID mortality of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases from 2020 to 2023 in Brazil, along medium and long term.MethodsRetrospective cohort study using notification data of SARS classified as COVID-19 from the Brazilian National Information System, “Sistema de Vigilância Epidemiológica (SIVEP),” during the period 2020 to 2023. Data included demographics, comorbidities, vaccination status, number of COVID-19 vaccine doses, city of residence, and survival outcomes. Classic Cox, Cox mixed effects, and Cox fragility models were used to assess medium and long-term risks of dying post-COVID.ResultsIn the medium and long-term periods studied, 5,157 deaths were recorded out of 15,147 reported SARS/COVID-19 cases. Of these deaths, 91.5% (N = 4,720) occurred within the first year, while 8,5% (N = 437) after the first year. People without formal education, the older adult, had higher percentages of deaths in both periods. In the medium-term post-COVID period, the risk of death was reduced by 8% for those who had been vaccinated while in the long-term post-COVID period, the risk of death almost doubled for those who had been vaccinated. While in the medium term, there was a reduction in mortality risk for those who took two or three doses, in the long term the risk of death was greater for those who took one or two doses.ConclusionThe protective effect of COVID-19 immunization was observed up to one year after the first symptoms. After one year, the effect was reversed, showing an increased risk of death for those vaccinated. These results highlight the need for further research to elucidate the factors that contribute to these findings.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2024.1495428/fullCOVID-19COVID-19 vaccinessevere acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirusmortalitysurvival analysislongitudinal studies
spellingShingle Nádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues
Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade
RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term
Frontiers in Medicine
COVID-19
COVID-19 vaccines
severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus
mortality
survival analysis
longitudinal studies
title RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term
title_full RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term
title_fullStr RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term
title_full_unstemmed RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term
title_short RETRACTED: Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term
title_sort retracted evaluation of post covid mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in brazil a longitudinal study for medium and long term
topic COVID-19
COVID-19 vaccines
severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus
mortality
survival analysis
longitudinal studies
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2024.1495428/full
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