Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya

Study region: Zemu River, Upper Teesta River Basin, Eastern Himalaya Study focus: In this study, a tree-ring chronology of Abies densa was used as a proxy to reconstruct a century-long May-June streamflow of the Zemu River. The reconstruction was carried out based on a scaling approach which explain...

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Main Authors: Nazimul Islam, Torsten Vennemann, Ulf Büntgen, Paul J. Krusic, Santosh K. Shah, Stuart N. Lane
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-08-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825003337
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author Nazimul Islam
Torsten Vennemann
Ulf Büntgen
Paul J. Krusic
Santosh K. Shah
Stuart N. Lane
author_facet Nazimul Islam
Torsten Vennemann
Ulf Büntgen
Paul J. Krusic
Santosh K. Shah
Stuart N. Lane
author_sort Nazimul Islam
collection DOAJ
description Study region: Zemu River, Upper Teesta River Basin, Eastern Himalaya Study focus: In this study, a tree-ring chronology of Abies densa was used as a proxy to reconstruct a century-long May-June streamflow of the Zemu River. The reconstruction was carried out based on a scaling approach which explained 35 % of variance in observed streamflow and was varified by comparing with other regional reconstructions. Moving windowed Pearson correlation was performed to reveal the temporal influence of major climate forcings (e.g., ENSO) with the streamflow of Zemu River. New hydrological insights for the region: Our study identified a strong negative relationship between tree-growth and observed May-June streamflow in the glacier-fed Zemu River. This counterintuitive, inverse relationship is likely due to the contribution of additional meltwater when conditions are dry and insulation over the glacier is high. The reconstructed streamflow record reveals several high- and low-flow periods above and below the mean value (+/- 1σ) and identifies 30 high-flow years and 33 low-flow years, including some historically recorded floods in 1927, 1968, 1980, 1982 and 1998, and of severe droughts in 1951, 1976 and 2017. Most recently, a positive association between reconstructed streamflow and the ENSO has become apparent, which we attribute to reduced penetration of the Indian Summer Monsoon during ENSO years, which reduces precipitation but maintains for longer warmer and drier conditions that allow glacier melt.
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spelling doaj-art-e00e0c0fb6ed4106bd66e4c31a3cc46d2025-08-20T02:48:34ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-08-016010250810.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102508Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern HimalayaNazimul Islam0Torsten Vennemann1Ulf Büntgen2Paul J. Krusic3Santosh K. Shah4Stuart N. Lane5Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics (IDYST), University of Lausanne, Switzerland; Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom; Correspondence to: Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics (IDYST), University of Lausanne, Lausanne CH-1015, Switzerland.Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics (IDYST), University of Lausanne, SwitzerlandDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic; Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czech RepublicDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department of History, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenBirbal Sahni Institute of Palaeosciences (BSIP), Lucknow, IndiaInstitute of Earth Surface Dynamics (IDYST), University of Lausanne, SwitzerlandStudy region: Zemu River, Upper Teesta River Basin, Eastern Himalaya Study focus: In this study, a tree-ring chronology of Abies densa was used as a proxy to reconstruct a century-long May-June streamflow of the Zemu River. The reconstruction was carried out based on a scaling approach which explained 35 % of variance in observed streamflow and was varified by comparing with other regional reconstructions. Moving windowed Pearson correlation was performed to reveal the temporal influence of major climate forcings (e.g., ENSO) with the streamflow of Zemu River. New hydrological insights for the region: Our study identified a strong negative relationship between tree-growth and observed May-June streamflow in the glacier-fed Zemu River. This counterintuitive, inverse relationship is likely due to the contribution of additional meltwater when conditions are dry and insulation over the glacier is high. The reconstructed streamflow record reveals several high- and low-flow periods above and below the mean value (+/- 1σ) and identifies 30 high-flow years and 33 low-flow years, including some historically recorded floods in 1927, 1968, 1980, 1982 and 1998, and of severe droughts in 1951, 1976 and 2017. Most recently, a positive association between reconstructed streamflow and the ENSO has become apparent, which we attribute to reduced penetration of the Indian Summer Monsoon during ENSO years, which reduces precipitation but maintains for longer warmer and drier conditions that allow glacier melt.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825003337Tree ringsStreamflow reconstructionZemu RiverEastern Himalaya
spellingShingle Nazimul Islam
Torsten Vennemann
Ulf Büntgen
Paul J. Krusic
Santosh K. Shah
Stuart N. Lane
Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Tree rings
Streamflow reconstruction
Zemu River
Eastern Himalaya
title Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya
title_full Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya
title_fullStr Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya
title_full_unstemmed Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya
title_short Tree-ring based May-June streamflow reconstruction of Zemu River in the Eastern Himalaya
title_sort tree ring based may june streamflow reconstruction of zemu river in the eastern himalaya
topic Tree rings
Streamflow reconstruction
Zemu River
Eastern Himalaya
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825003337
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