Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District
Land-use change analysis and future models were used to examine environmental degradation and control unplanned development. This study aimed to reveal the temporal changes in Gölcük district, identify improper land uses by analyzing the changes, develop future modeling, and predict future trends us...
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| Language: | English |
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Istanbul University Press
2022-07-01
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| Series: | Coğrafya Dergisi |
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| Online Access: | https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/4E8C632622844F228120E7FE4608B5C3 |
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| author | Sultan Bolat Mesut Doğan |
| author_facet | Sultan Bolat Mesut Doğan |
| author_sort | Sultan Bolat |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Land-use change analysis and future models were used to examine environmental degradation and control unplanned development. This study aimed to reveal the temporal changes in Gölcük district, identify improper land uses by analyzing the changes, develop future modeling, and predict future trends using the Modules for Land-Use Change Evaluation plug-in. Accordingly, land uses produced by the unsupervised classification method using Landsat satellite images were used for change analysis from 1984 to the present. The modeling for 2035 was obtained from this perspective. The results of land-use changes are illustrated using change maps, loss/gain graphs, and statistical data. Rapid urban growth in the Gölcük district has also affected other important land-use types such as agriculture. Based on modeling results, the settlement was expected to cover 9.77% (2025.90 ha) of the total area in 2020 and is expected to cover 13.53% (2808 ha) of the total area in 2035. It has been discovered this growth has opened up agricultural areas to settlement, and it has been modeled that cultivated areas will be lost in the future. These areas are remarkable because of their high earthquake risk. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-df8579fac0264b0a9237178f41537cf7 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 1305-2128 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2022-07-01 |
| publisher | Istanbul University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Coğrafya Dergisi |
| spelling | doaj-art-df8579fac0264b0a9237178f41537cf72025-08-20T03:11:14ZengIstanbul University PressCoğrafya Dergisi1305-21282022-07-014416918110.26650/JGEOG2022-997334123456Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük DistrictSultan Bolat0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7051-5363Mesut Doğan1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4926-5769Ardahan Üniversitesi, Ardahan, Turkiyeİstanbul Üniversitesi, İstanbul, TürkiyeLand-use change analysis and future models were used to examine environmental degradation and control unplanned development. This study aimed to reveal the temporal changes in Gölcük district, identify improper land uses by analyzing the changes, develop future modeling, and predict future trends using the Modules for Land-Use Change Evaluation plug-in. Accordingly, land uses produced by the unsupervised classification method using Landsat satellite images were used for change analysis from 1984 to the present. The modeling for 2035 was obtained from this perspective. The results of land-use changes are illustrated using change maps, loss/gain graphs, and statistical data. Rapid urban growth in the Gölcük district has also affected other important land-use types such as agriculture. Based on modeling results, the settlement was expected to cover 9.77% (2025.90 ha) of the total area in 2020 and is expected to cover 13.53% (2808 ha) of the total area in 2035. It has been discovered this growth has opened up agricultural areas to settlement, and it has been modeled that cultivated areas will be lost in the future. These areas are remarkable because of their high earthquake risk.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/4E8C632622844F228120E7FE4608B5C3gölcükland-use modelingmolusce |
| spellingShingle | Sultan Bolat Mesut Doğan Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District Coğrafya Dergisi gölcük land-use modeling molusce |
| title | Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District |
| title_full | Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District |
| title_fullStr | Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District |
| title_full_unstemmed | Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District |
| title_short | Detection and Modeling of Long-Term (1984–2020) Land-Use Change (2035) Analysis of Gölcük District |
| title_sort | detection and modeling of long term 1984 2020 land use change 2035 analysis of golcuk district |
| topic | gölcük land-use modeling molusce |
| url | https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/4E8C632622844F228120E7FE4608B5C3 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sultanbolat detectionandmodelingoflongterm19842020landusechange2035analysisofgolcukdistrict AT mesutdogan detectionandmodelingoflongterm19842020landusechange2035analysisofgolcukdistrict |