Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model

With the increasing demand for traffic management and resource allocation in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), accurate origin-destination (OD) prediction has become crucial. This article presents a novel integrated framework, effectively merging the distinctive capabilities of graph convolu...

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Main Authors: Guangtong Hu, Jun Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PeerJ Inc. 2025-02-01
Series:PeerJ Computer Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://peerj.com/articles/cs-2709.pdf
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author Guangtong Hu
Jun Zhang
author_facet Guangtong Hu
Jun Zhang
author_sort Guangtong Hu
collection DOAJ
description With the increasing demand for traffic management and resource allocation in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), accurate origin-destination (OD) prediction has become crucial. This article presents a novel integrated framework, effectively merging the distinctive capabilities of graph convolutional network (GCN), residual neural network (ResNet), and long short-term memory network (LSTM), hereby designated as GraphResLSTM. GraphResLSTM leverages road average speed data for OD prediction. Contrary to traditional reliance on traffic flow data, road average speed data provides richer informational dimensions, reflecting not only vehicle volume but also indirectly indicating congestion levels. We use a real-world road network to generate road average speed data and OD data through simulations in Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO), thereby avoiding the influence of external factors such as weather. To enhance training efficiency, we employ a method combining the entropy weight method with the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) for key road segment selection. Using this generated dataset, carefully designed comparative experiments are conducted to compare various different models and data types. The results clearly demonstrate that both the GraphResLSTM model and the road average speed data markedly outperform alternative models and data types in OD prediction.
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spelling doaj-art-df6901ef122941a8a3f9e8d6795390422025-08-20T02:13:56ZengPeerJ Inc.PeerJ Computer Science2376-59922025-02-0111e270910.7717/peerj-cs.2709Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM modelGuangtong HuJun ZhangWith the increasing demand for traffic management and resource allocation in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), accurate origin-destination (OD) prediction has become crucial. This article presents a novel integrated framework, effectively merging the distinctive capabilities of graph convolutional network (GCN), residual neural network (ResNet), and long short-term memory network (LSTM), hereby designated as GraphResLSTM. GraphResLSTM leverages road average speed data for OD prediction. Contrary to traditional reliance on traffic flow data, road average speed data provides richer informational dimensions, reflecting not only vehicle volume but also indirectly indicating congestion levels. We use a real-world road network to generate road average speed data and OD data through simulations in Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO), thereby avoiding the influence of external factors such as weather. To enhance training efficiency, we employ a method combining the entropy weight method with the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) for key road segment selection. Using this generated dataset, carefully designed comparative experiments are conducted to compare various different models and data types. The results clearly demonstrate that both the GraphResLSTM model and the road average speed data markedly outperform alternative models and data types in OD prediction.https://peerj.com/articles/cs-2709.pdfOrigin-destination predictionDeep learningIntelligent transportation systemsGraph convolutional networkResidual neural networkLong short-term memory network
spellingShingle Guangtong Hu
Jun Zhang
Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model
PeerJ Computer Science
Origin-destination prediction
Deep learning
Intelligent transportation systems
Graph convolutional network
Residual neural network
Long short-term memory network
title Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model
title_full Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model
title_fullStr Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model
title_full_unstemmed Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model
title_short Origin-destination prediction from road average speed data using GraphResLSTM model
title_sort origin destination prediction from road average speed data using graphreslstm model
topic Origin-destination prediction
Deep learning
Intelligent transportation systems
Graph convolutional network
Residual neural network
Long short-term memory network
url https://peerj.com/articles/cs-2709.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT guangtonghu origindestinationpredictionfromroadaveragespeeddatausinggraphreslstmmodel
AT junzhang origindestinationpredictionfromroadaveragespeeddatausinggraphreslstmmodel