Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions

Changes in the land biosphere since 1970 are consistent with global warming: climate zones have shifted poleward in both hemispheres, and the growing season has on average lengthened by up to two days per decade since the 1950s in the Northern Hemisphere extratropic. In this research, projected chan...

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Main Authors: Mansuoreh Kohi, Ebrahim Fattahi, Ebrahim Asadi Oskouei
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: I.R. of Iran Meteorological Organization 2022-09-01
Series:Nīvār
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Online Access:https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_164107_1e21bf63bc29dc7bac6c668d47678853.pdf
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author Mansuoreh Kohi
Ebrahim Fattahi
Ebrahim Asadi Oskouei
author_facet Mansuoreh Kohi
Ebrahim Fattahi
Ebrahim Asadi Oskouei
author_sort Mansuoreh Kohi
collection DOAJ
description Changes in the land biosphere since 1970 are consistent with global warming: climate zones have shifted poleward in both hemispheres, and the growing season has on average lengthened by up to two days per decade since the 1950s in the Northern Hemisphere extratropic. In this research, projected change of growing season length (GSL) and the start date of the growing season over Yazd province are investigated using three GCMs (GFDL, HadGEM and MIROC5) under the RCP8.5 scenario during 2021-2040. The results indicate Yazd province will experience extended GSL in a warmer world. The thermal growing season has been projected to increase owing to the earlier onset of growth in late winter and spring. Therefore, the prolongation of GSL under the RCP8.5 is attributed to earlier onset. Future temperature and precipitation scenarios based on GFDL and HadGEM models under the RCP8.5 scenario show more unfavorable conditions for this province. Because of the sensitivity of agriculture to weather and climate conditions, these impacts can have substantial direct and indirect effects on production and profitability.
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spelling doaj-art-df5775a2e688462782e338a07bd5e80a2025-08-20T01:47:58ZfasI.R. of Iran Meteorological OrganizationNīvār1735-05652645-33472022-09-0146118-119557210.30467/nivar.2023.361965.1226164107Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate ConditionsMansuoreh Kohi0Ebrahim Fattahi1Ebrahim Asadi Oskouei2Assistant Prof, ASMERC, Climatological Research Institute, Mashhad, IranAssociate Professor, ASMERC, Tehran, IranFaculty member of ASMERCChanges in the land biosphere since 1970 are consistent with global warming: climate zones have shifted poleward in both hemispheres, and the growing season has on average lengthened by up to two days per decade since the 1950s in the Northern Hemisphere extratropic. In this research, projected change of growing season length (GSL) and the start date of the growing season over Yazd province are investigated using three GCMs (GFDL, HadGEM and MIROC5) under the RCP8.5 scenario during 2021-2040. The results indicate Yazd province will experience extended GSL in a warmer world. The thermal growing season has been projected to increase owing to the earlier onset of growth in late winter and spring. Therefore, the prolongation of GSL under the RCP8.5 is attributed to earlier onset. Future temperature and precipitation scenarios based on GFDL and HadGEM models under the RCP8.5 scenario show more unfavorable conditions for this province. Because of the sensitivity of agriculture to weather and climate conditions, these impacts can have substantial direct and indirect effects on production and profitability.https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_164107_1e21bf63bc29dc7bac6c668d47678853.pdfclimate changercpyazdplanting date
spellingShingle Mansuoreh Kohi
Ebrahim Fattahi
Ebrahim Asadi Oskouei
Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions
Nīvār
climate change
rcp
yazd
planting date
title Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions
title_full Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions
title_fullStr Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions
title_full_unstemmed Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions
title_short Shifts in Planting Date and Change in Length of Growing Season in Yazd Province Under Warmer Climate Conditions
title_sort shifts in planting date and change in length of growing season in yazd province under warmer climate conditions
topic climate change
rcp
yazd
planting date
url https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_164107_1e21bf63bc29dc7bac6c668d47678853.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mansuorehkohi shiftsinplantingdateandchangeinlengthofgrowingseasoninyazdprovinceunderwarmerclimateconditions
AT ebrahimfattahi shiftsinplantingdateandchangeinlengthofgrowingseasoninyazdprovinceunderwarmerclimateconditions
AT ebrahimasadioskouei shiftsinplantingdateandchangeinlengthofgrowingseasoninyazdprovinceunderwarmerclimateconditions