Predictability in process-based ensemble forecast of influenza.

Process-based models have been used to simulate and forecast a number of nonlinear dynamical systems, including influenza and other infectious diseases. In this work, we evaluate the effects of model initial condition error and stochastic fluctuation on forecast accuracy in a compartmental model of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sen Pei, Mark A Cane, Jeffrey Shaman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2019-02-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006783&type=printable
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