Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion

By effectively capturing the spatio-temporal characteristics of urban private car travel, a multi-source heterogeneous data fusion model for private car volume prediction was proposed.Firstly, private car trajectory and area-of-interest data were integrated.Secondly, the spatio-temporal correlations...

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Main Authors: Chenxi LIU, Dong WANG, Huiling CHEN, Renfa LI
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Journal on Communications 2021-03-01
Series:Tongxin xuebao
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2021018/
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author Chenxi LIU
Dong WANG
Huiling CHEN
Renfa LI
author_facet Chenxi LIU
Dong WANG
Huiling CHEN
Renfa LI
author_sort Chenxi LIU
collection DOAJ
description By effectively capturing the spatio-temporal characteristics of urban private car travel, a multi-source heterogeneous data fusion model for private car volume prediction was proposed.Firstly, private car trajectory and area-of-interest data were integrated.Secondly, the spatio-temporal correlations between private car travel and urban areas were modeled through multi-view spatio-temporal graphs, the multi-graph convolution-attention network (MGC-AN) was proposed to extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of private car travel.Finally, the spatio-temporal characteristics and external characteristics such as weather were integrated for joint prediction.Experiments were conducted on real datasets, which were collected in Changsha and Shenzhen.The experimental results show that, compared with the existing prediction model, the root mean square error of the MGC-AN is reduced 11.3%~20.3%, and the average absolute percentage error is reduced 10.8%~36.1%.
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publisher Editorial Department of Journal on Communications
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spelling doaj-art-ddba92e16597440ba7e54ffc60bb390b2025-08-20T02:34:39ZzhoEditorial Department of Journal on CommunicationsTongxin xuebao1000-436X2021-03-0142546459740767Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusionChenxi LIUDong WANGHuiling CHENRenfa LIBy effectively capturing the spatio-temporal characteristics of urban private car travel, a multi-source heterogeneous data fusion model for private car volume prediction was proposed.Firstly, private car trajectory and area-of-interest data were integrated.Secondly, the spatio-temporal correlations between private car travel and urban areas were modeled through multi-view spatio-temporal graphs, the multi-graph convolution-attention network (MGC-AN) was proposed to extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of private car travel.Finally, the spatio-temporal characteristics and external characteristics such as weather were integrated for joint prediction.Experiments were conducted on real datasets, which were collected in Changsha and Shenzhen.The experimental results show that, compared with the existing prediction model, the root mean square error of the MGC-AN is reduced 11.3%~20.3%, and the average absolute percentage error is reduced 10.8%~36.1%.http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2021018/multi-source heterogeneous dataarea of interestgraph neural network
spellingShingle Chenxi LIU
Dong WANG
Huiling CHEN
Renfa LI
Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion
Tongxin xuebao
multi-source heterogeneous data
area of interest
graph neural network
title Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion
title_full Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion
title_fullStr Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion
title_full_unstemmed Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion
title_short Study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion
title_sort study of forecasting urban private car volumes based on multi source heterogeneous data fusion
topic multi-source heterogeneous data
area of interest
graph neural network
url http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2021018/
work_keys_str_mv AT chenxiliu studyofforecastingurbanprivatecarvolumesbasedonmultisourceheterogeneousdatafusion
AT dongwang studyofforecastingurbanprivatecarvolumesbasedonmultisourceheterogeneousdatafusion
AT huilingchen studyofforecastingurbanprivatecarvolumesbasedonmultisourceheterogeneousdatafusion
AT renfali studyofforecastingurbanprivatecarvolumesbasedonmultisourceheterogeneousdatafusion