Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets

Abstract Presently, financial portfolio managers lack a solid basis for building a reliable risk management strategy for green debt instrument investments due to the lack of compelling growth and resilience data. Therefore, this study assesses the role of green bonds in financial markets by assessin...

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Main Authors: Werner Kristjanpoller, Benjamin Miranda Tabak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-01-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00698-0
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author Werner Kristjanpoller
Benjamin Miranda Tabak
author_facet Werner Kristjanpoller
Benjamin Miranda Tabak
author_sort Werner Kristjanpoller
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Presently, financial portfolio managers lack a solid basis for building a reliable risk management strategy for green debt instrument investments due to the lack of compelling growth and resilience data. Therefore, this study assesses the role of green bonds in financial markets by assessing and correlating their complex scaling behaviors across multiple periods with those of key benchmark assets (e.g., conventional bonds, high-yield bonds, Euro-Dollar exchange, Dow Jones Industrial Index, Bitcoin, and Gold). Specifically, we explore linear and nonlinear correlation patterns using cross-correlation tests and the dynamic conditional correlation model, focusing on bond interactions under various degrees of freedom. Our analysis reveals that although most assets exhibit nonlinear correlations, Bitcoin uniquely aligns linearly with U.S. bonds under certain conditions. Green bonds, however, display nonlinear correlations with Bitcoin and stand out for their distinct upward financial persistence. We find also that green bonds are primary drivers in the financial domain, highlighted by their pronounced interactions and the consistent cross-correlation with the Euro-Dollar exchange rate. Moreover, green bonds have the lowest multifractality, showing persistent upward trends and antipersistent downward trends, rendering them quite resilient during periods of high volatility. These results imply that green bonds may be advantageous to portfolio risk management strategies, especially during crises when diversification and hedging tactics are needed.
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spelling doaj-art-dda317698ce949148ac84186cef39b902025-01-19T12:36:06ZengSpringerOpenFinancial Innovation2199-47302025-01-0111112810.1186/s40854-024-00698-0Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assetsWerner Kristjanpoller0Benjamin Miranda Tabak1Departamento de Industrias, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa MaríaSchool of Public Policy and Government, Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV/EPPG)Abstract Presently, financial portfolio managers lack a solid basis for building a reliable risk management strategy for green debt instrument investments due to the lack of compelling growth and resilience data. Therefore, this study assesses the role of green bonds in financial markets by assessing and correlating their complex scaling behaviors across multiple periods with those of key benchmark assets (e.g., conventional bonds, high-yield bonds, Euro-Dollar exchange, Dow Jones Industrial Index, Bitcoin, and Gold). Specifically, we explore linear and nonlinear correlation patterns using cross-correlation tests and the dynamic conditional correlation model, focusing on bond interactions under various degrees of freedom. Our analysis reveals that although most assets exhibit nonlinear correlations, Bitcoin uniquely aligns linearly with U.S. bonds under certain conditions. Green bonds, however, display nonlinear correlations with Bitcoin and stand out for their distinct upward financial persistence. We find also that green bonds are primary drivers in the financial domain, highlighted by their pronounced interactions and the consistent cross-correlation with the Euro-Dollar exchange rate. Moreover, green bonds have the lowest multifractality, showing persistent upward trends and antipersistent downward trends, rendering them quite resilient during periods of high volatility. These results imply that green bonds may be advantageous to portfolio risk management strategies, especially during crises when diversification and hedging tactics are needed.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00698-0Green bondsBondsMultifractalityAsymmetric cross-correlationsComplexityHigh-yield bonds
spellingShingle Werner Kristjanpoller
Benjamin Miranda Tabak
Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets
Financial Innovation
Green bonds
Bonds
Multifractality
Asymmetric cross-correlations
Complexity
High-yield bonds
title Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets
title_full Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets
title_fullStr Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets
title_short Comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and U.S. bonds against benchmark financial assets
title_sort comparison of the asymmetric multifractal behavior of green and u s bonds against benchmark financial assets
topic Green bonds
Bonds
Multifractality
Asymmetric cross-correlations
Complexity
High-yield bonds
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00698-0
work_keys_str_mv AT wernerkristjanpoller comparisonoftheasymmetricmultifractalbehaviorofgreenandusbondsagainstbenchmarkfinancialassets
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