Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil

ABSTRACT This study was carried out to statistically evaluate the performance of the PHYGROW model in simulating the growth of corn and sorghum plants in different locations in the semi-arid region of Ceará State, Brazil. Corn and sorghum production data were obtained in seven macro-regions, where t...

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Main Authors: S.R. Maranhão, E.C. Santos, M.J.D. Cândido, R.G. Silva, A.C.R. Cavalcante
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 2025-07-01
Series:Arquivo Brasileiro de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia
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Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-09352025000400500&lng=en&tlng=en
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author S.R. Maranhão
E.C. Santos
M.J.D. Cândido
R.G. Silva
A.C.R. Cavalcante
author_facet S.R. Maranhão
E.C. Santos
M.J.D. Cândido
R.G. Silva
A.C.R. Cavalcante
author_sort S.R. Maranhão
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT This study was carried out to statistically evaluate the performance of the PHYGROW model in simulating the growth of corn and sorghum plants in different locations in the semi-arid region of Ceará State, Brazil. Corn and sorghum production data were obtained in seven macro-regions, where the characterization of ecological sites was previously performed using soil and vegetation information for model parameterization. Biomass production data were collected in the 2021 and 2022 rainy seasons. The obtained models were statistically analyzed by the following estimators: estimation bias (BIAS), mean absolute error (MAE), estimation efficiency (EE) and Willmott’s index of agreement (d). The results showed the suitability of the PHYGROW model to simulate the growth of corn and sorghum crops in different semi-arid regions of Ceará State; however, the statistical estimators stressed the need for a larger database to improve forecast accuracy.
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publisher Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
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series Arquivo Brasileiro de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia
spelling doaj-art-dd8827fe84bd4f0cb8bf82f497a600cf2025-08-20T03:11:46ZengUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisArquivo Brasileiro de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia1678-41622025-07-0177410.1590/1678-4162-13303Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, BrazilS.R. Maranhãohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9945-9529E.C. Santoshttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3218-1865M.J.D. Cândidohttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3573-6053R.G. Silvahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0062-7554A.C.R. Cavalcantehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9685-569XABSTRACT This study was carried out to statistically evaluate the performance of the PHYGROW model in simulating the growth of corn and sorghum plants in different locations in the semi-arid region of Ceará State, Brazil. Corn and sorghum production data were obtained in seven macro-regions, where the characterization of ecological sites was previously performed using soil and vegetation information for model parameterization. Biomass production data were collected in the 2021 and 2022 rainy seasons. The obtained models were statistically analyzed by the following estimators: estimation bias (BIAS), mean absolute error (MAE), estimation efficiency (EE) and Willmott’s index of agreement (d). The results showed the suitability of the PHYGROW model to simulate the growth of corn and sorghum crops in different semi-arid regions of Ceará State; however, the statistical estimators stressed the need for a larger database to improve forecast accuracy.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-09352025000400500&lng=en&tlng=enmathematical estimatorsmechanistic modellingrainfed crops
spellingShingle S.R. Maranhão
E.C. Santos
M.J.D. Cândido
R.G. Silva
A.C.R. Cavalcante
Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil
Arquivo Brasileiro de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia
mathematical estimators
mechanistic modelling
rainfed crops
title Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil
title_full Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil
title_fullStr Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil
title_short Statistical evaluation of the PHYGROW model: a case study in Ceará State, Brazil
title_sort statistical evaluation of the phygrow model a case study in ceara state brazil
topic mathematical estimators
mechanistic modelling
rainfed crops
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-09352025000400500&lng=en&tlng=en
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