Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends

This study analyzes global energy trends from January 1973 to November 2022, using the “World Energy Statistics” dataset from Kaggle, which includes data on the production, consumption, import, and export of fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and renewable energy. The analysis employs statistical techniq...

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Main Authors: Francina Pali, Roschlynn Dsouza, Yeeon Ryu, Jennifer Oishee, Joel Aikkarakudiyil, Manali Avinash Gaikwad, Payam Norouzzadeh, Steven Buckner, Bahareh Rahmani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Computers
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/5/190
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author Francina Pali
Roschlynn Dsouza
Yeeon Ryu
Jennifer Oishee
Joel Aikkarakudiyil
Manali Avinash Gaikwad
Payam Norouzzadeh
Steven Buckner
Bahareh Rahmani
author_facet Francina Pali
Roschlynn Dsouza
Yeeon Ryu
Jennifer Oishee
Joel Aikkarakudiyil
Manali Avinash Gaikwad
Payam Norouzzadeh
Steven Buckner
Bahareh Rahmani
author_sort Francina Pali
collection DOAJ
description This study analyzes global energy trends from January 1973 to November 2022, using the “World Energy Statistics” dataset from Kaggle, which includes data on the production, consumption, import, and export of fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and renewable energy. The analysis employs statistical techniques such as correlation analysis, quantile–quantile (Q–Q) plots, seasonal decomposition, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) modeling. The results reveal strong positive correlations between nuclear energy production and consumption, as well as between renewable energy production and consumption. Seasonal decomposition highlights annual patterns in renewable energy use and a declining trend in fossil fuel dependency. SARIMA modeling forecasts continued growth in renewable energy consumption and a gradual reduction in fossil fuel reliance. These findings provide critical insights into long-term energy patterns and offer data-driven implications for global energy policy and strategic planning.
format Article
id doaj-art-dc8252ed61ca4b8a8590d202811d6390
institution OA Journals
issn 2073-431X
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publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
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series Computers
spelling doaj-art-dc8252ed61ca4b8a8590d202811d63902025-08-20T01:56:17ZengMDPI AGComputers2073-431X2025-05-0114519010.3390/computers14050190Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy TrendsFrancina Pali0Roschlynn Dsouza1Yeeon Ryu2Jennifer Oishee3Joel Aikkarakudiyil4Manali Avinash Gaikwad5Payam Norouzzadeh6Steven Buckner7Bahareh Rahmani8Department of Computer Science, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Computer Science, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Computer Science, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Computer Science, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Computer Science, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Computer Science, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Professional Studies, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Chemistry, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USADepartment of Health and Clinical Outcomes Research, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO 63103, USAThis study analyzes global energy trends from January 1973 to November 2022, using the “World Energy Statistics” dataset from Kaggle, which includes data on the production, consumption, import, and export of fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and renewable energy. The analysis employs statistical techniques such as correlation analysis, quantile–quantile (Q–Q) plots, seasonal decomposition, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) modeling. The results reveal strong positive correlations between nuclear energy production and consumption, as well as between renewable energy production and consumption. Seasonal decomposition highlights annual patterns in renewable energy use and a declining trend in fossil fuel dependency. SARIMA modeling forecasts continued growth in renewable energy consumption and a gradual reduction in fossil fuel reliance. These findings provide critical insights into long-term energy patterns and offer data-driven implications for global energy policy and strategic planning.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/5/190energy statisticsseasonal decompositionseasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA)
spellingShingle Francina Pali
Roschlynn Dsouza
Yeeon Ryu
Jennifer Oishee
Joel Aikkarakudiyil
Manali Avinash Gaikwad
Payam Norouzzadeh
Steven Buckner
Bahareh Rahmani
Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends
Computers
energy statistics
seasonal decomposition
seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA)
title Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends
title_full Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends
title_fullStr Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends
title_full_unstemmed Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends
title_short Energy Transitions over Five Decades: A Statistical Perspective on Global Energy Trends
title_sort energy transitions over five decades a statistical perspective on global energy trends
topic energy statistics
seasonal decomposition
seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA)
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/5/190
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