TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products

Abstract Background Harvested wood products (HWPs) have a pivotal role in climate change mitigation, a recognition solidified in many Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. Integrating HWPs' greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals into accounting requirements...

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Main Authors: I. Boukhris, A. Collalti, S. Lahssini, D. Dalmonech, F. Nakhle, R. Testolin, M. V. Chiriacò, M. Santini, R. Valentini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-05-01
Series:Carbon Balance and Management
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-025-00296-2
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author I. Boukhris
A. Collalti
S. Lahssini
D. Dalmonech
F. Nakhle
R. Testolin
M. V. Chiriacò
M. Santini
R. Valentini
author_facet I. Boukhris
A. Collalti
S. Lahssini
D. Dalmonech
F. Nakhle
R. Testolin
M. V. Chiriacò
M. Santini
R. Valentini
author_sort I. Boukhris
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Harvested wood products (HWPs) have a pivotal role in climate change mitigation, a recognition solidified in many Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. Integrating HWPs' greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals into accounting requirements relies on typical decision-oriented tools known as wood product models (WPMs). The study introduces the TimberTracer (TT) framework, designed to simulate HWP carbon stock, substitution effects, and emissions from wood decay and bioenergy. Results Coupled with the 3D-CMCC-FEM forest growth model, TimberTracer was applied to Laricio Pine (Pinus nigra subsp. laricio) in Italy’s Bonis watershed, evaluating three forest management practices (clearcut, selective thinning, and shelterwood) and four wood-use scenarios (business as usual, increased recycling rate, extended average lifespan, and a simultaneous increase in both the recycling rate and the average lifespan) over a 140 year planning horizon, to assess the overall carbon balance of HWPs. Furthermore, this study evaluates the consequences of disregarding landfill methane emissions and relying on static substitution factors, assessing their impact on the mitigation potential of various options. This investigation, covering HWPs stock, carbon (C) emissions, and the substitution effect, revealed that selective thinning emerged as the optimal forest management scenario. In addition, a simultaneous 10% increase in both the recycling rate and half-life, under the so-called “sustainability” scenario, proved to be the optimal wood-use strategy. Finally, the analysis shows that failing to account for landfill methane emissions and the use of dynamic substitution can significantly overestimate the mitigation potential of various forest management and wood-use options, which underscores the critical importance of a comprehensive accounting in climate mitigation strategies involving HWPs. Conclusions Our study highlights the critical role of harvested wood products (HWPs) in climate change mitigation, as endorsed by multiple Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. Utilizing the TimberTracer framework coupled with the 3D-CMCC-FEM forest growth model, we identified selective thinning as the optimal forest management practice. Additionally, enhancing recycling rates and extending product lifespan effectively bolstered the carbon balance. Moreover, this study emphasizes the necessity of accounting for landfill methane emissions and dynamic product substitution, as failing to do so may significantly overestimate the mitigation potential of implemented projects. These findings offer actionable insights to optimize forest management strategies and advance climate change mitigation efforts.
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spelling doaj-art-dc630b2f0403410cb8dd9c0c3b9e77452025-08-20T02:00:06ZengBMCCarbon Balance and Management1750-06802025-05-0120112510.1186/s13021-025-00296-2TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood productsI. Boukhris0A. Collalti1S. Lahssini2D. Dalmonech3F. Nakhle4R. Testolin5M. V. Chiriacò6M. Santini7R. Valentini8Forest Ecology Lab, Department for Innovation in Biological, Agri-Food and Forest Systems (DIBAF), University of TusciaForest Modeling Lab, Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM)Department of Forest Development, National School of Forest EngineersForest Modeling Lab, Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM)Department of Computer Science, Temple University, Setagaya CityForest Modeling Lab, Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM)CMCC Foundation-Euro-Mediterranean Center On Climate ChangeCMCC Foundation-Euro-Mediterranean Center On Climate ChangeForest Ecology Lab, Department for Innovation in Biological, Agri-Food and Forest Systems (DIBAF), University of TusciaAbstract Background Harvested wood products (HWPs) have a pivotal role in climate change mitigation, a recognition solidified in many Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. Integrating HWPs' greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals into accounting requirements relies on typical decision-oriented tools known as wood product models (WPMs). The study introduces the TimberTracer (TT) framework, designed to simulate HWP carbon stock, substitution effects, and emissions from wood decay and bioenergy. Results Coupled with the 3D-CMCC-FEM forest growth model, TimberTracer was applied to Laricio Pine (Pinus nigra subsp. laricio) in Italy’s Bonis watershed, evaluating three forest management practices (clearcut, selective thinning, and shelterwood) and four wood-use scenarios (business as usual, increased recycling rate, extended average lifespan, and a simultaneous increase in both the recycling rate and the average lifespan) over a 140 year planning horizon, to assess the overall carbon balance of HWPs. Furthermore, this study evaluates the consequences of disregarding landfill methane emissions and relying on static substitution factors, assessing their impact on the mitigation potential of various options. This investigation, covering HWPs stock, carbon (C) emissions, and the substitution effect, revealed that selective thinning emerged as the optimal forest management scenario. In addition, a simultaneous 10% increase in both the recycling rate and half-life, under the so-called “sustainability” scenario, proved to be the optimal wood-use strategy. Finally, the analysis shows that failing to account for landfill methane emissions and the use of dynamic substitution can significantly overestimate the mitigation potential of various forest management and wood-use options, which underscores the critical importance of a comprehensive accounting in climate mitigation strategies involving HWPs. Conclusions Our study highlights the critical role of harvested wood products (HWPs) in climate change mitigation, as endorsed by multiple Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. Utilizing the TimberTracer framework coupled with the 3D-CMCC-FEM forest growth model, we identified selective thinning as the optimal forest management practice. Additionally, enhancing recycling rates and extending product lifespan effectively bolstered the carbon balance. Moreover, this study emphasizes the necessity of accounting for landfill methane emissions and dynamic product substitution, as failing to do so may significantly overestimate the mitigation potential of implemented projects. These findings offer actionable insights to optimize forest management strategies and advance climate change mitigation efforts.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-025-00296-2
spellingShingle I. Boukhris
A. Collalti
S. Lahssini
D. Dalmonech
F. Nakhle
R. Testolin
M. V. Chiriacò
M. Santini
R. Valentini
TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
Carbon Balance and Management
title TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
title_full TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
title_fullStr TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
title_full_unstemmed TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
title_short TimberTracer: a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
title_sort timbertracer a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of carbon sequestration by forest management and substitution of harvested wood products
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-025-00296-2
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