Colombian agricultural sector and armed conflict (2007 - 2022): An empirical analysis

This article empirically proposes an unbalanced panel data model of random effects for the total of municipalities in Colombia in a period between 2007 and 2022 that analyzes the impact of the armed conflict on agricultural production, controlling by municipalities ZOMAC, post-peace agreement and s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Daniel Andrés Mosquera, Nadja Simone Menezes Nery de Oliveira, Pery Francisco Assis Shikida
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER) 2025-03-01
Series:Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos
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Online Access:https://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/1012
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Summary:This article empirically proposes an unbalanced panel data model of random effects for the total of municipalities in Colombia in a period between 2007 and 2022 that analyzes the impact of the armed conflict on agricultural production, controlling by municipalities ZOMAC, post-peace agreement and sown area. The results show that production is negatively affected by 0.008% for each 1% additional victims of conflict in the municipalities each year; the analysis is carried out crop cycle, where transient crops are the most affected in the face of the conflict. On the other hand, the econometry model include the Differences-in-Differences parameter to estimate the post-agreements, between Colombian Estate and FARC, effect in the agriculture production. The results show that in a peace scenario, the agriculture production growth 0,07% each year.
ISSN:2447-7990