Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce
Logistics is a key aspect of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC). If any link of logistics fails, the outcome of CBEC may fall shortage of expectation. Logistics risks are now major bottlenecks of CBEC development. Therefore, it is important to study CBEC logistics risks. This paper divides CBEC logistic...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2022-01-01
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| Series: | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/5140939 |
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| _version_ | 1849683249986535424 |
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| author | Weizhe Mu |
| author_facet | Weizhe Mu |
| author_sort | Weizhe Mu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Logistics is a key aspect of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC). If any link of logistics fails, the outcome of CBEC may fall shortage of expectation. Logistics risks are now major bottlenecks of CBEC development. Therefore, it is important to study CBEC logistics risks. This paper divides CBEC logistics risks into environmental risks, management risks, operation risks, and clearance risks and establishes a Bayesian model to warn CBEC logistics risks. Then, GeNIe software was employed to simulate the model, and an empirical analysis was conducted through forward prediction and reverse diagnosis. The results help enterprises to intuitively identify risk reducers, formulate effective risk control schemes, and thereby reduce CBEC logistics risks. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-dbf3da12415b46bcbb19b66f52d39ab4 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 1607-887X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| spelling | doaj-art-dbf3da12415b46bcbb19b66f52d39ab42025-08-20T03:23:57ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1607-887X2022-01-01202210.1155/2022/5140939Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-CommerceWeizhe Mu0School of ManagementLogistics is a key aspect of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC). If any link of logistics fails, the outcome of CBEC may fall shortage of expectation. Logistics risks are now major bottlenecks of CBEC development. Therefore, it is important to study CBEC logistics risks. This paper divides CBEC logistics risks into environmental risks, management risks, operation risks, and clearance risks and establishes a Bayesian model to warn CBEC logistics risks. Then, GeNIe software was employed to simulate the model, and an empirical analysis was conducted through forward prediction and reverse diagnosis. The results help enterprises to intuitively identify risk reducers, formulate effective risk control schemes, and thereby reduce CBEC logistics risks.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/5140939 |
| spellingShingle | Weizhe Mu Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| title | Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce |
| title_full | Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce |
| title_fullStr | Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce |
| title_short | Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce |
| title_sort | analysis and warning model of logistics risks of cross border e commerce |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/5140939 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT weizhemu analysisandwarningmodeloflogisticsrisksofcrossborderecommerce |