Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target

To stabilize global mean temperature and stay below critical thresholds, deep emission reductions have to be complemented with carbon dioxide removal. A broad portfolio of options is necessary to enable sufficient potential and mitigate sustainability concerns. So far, integrated assessment models h...

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Main Authors: Jessica Strefler, Katarzyna Kowalczyk, Verena Hofbauer, Tabea Dorndorf, Lavinia Baumstark
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf12c
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author Jessica Strefler
Katarzyna Kowalczyk
Verena Hofbauer
Tabea Dorndorf
Lavinia Baumstark
author_facet Jessica Strefler
Katarzyna Kowalczyk
Verena Hofbauer
Tabea Dorndorf
Lavinia Baumstark
author_sort Jessica Strefler
collection DOAJ
description To stabilize global mean temperature and stay below critical thresholds, deep emission reductions have to be complemented with carbon dioxide removal. A broad portfolio of options is necessary to enable sufficient potential and mitigate sustainability concerns. So far, integrated assessment models have almost exclusively considered options on land. In this study, we show that ocean liming can make a substantial contribution to achieving ambitious climate mitigation targets. Due to the expected time needed for scale-up, the deployment potential in the first half of the century is limited, such that ocean liming can hardly reduce peak temperature. However, in the second half of the century, substantial deployment may be economically competitive. In addition, the availability of ocean liming reduces the dependence on other carbon removal options, and specifically on bioenergy. This could reduce the pressure on land and improve the sustainability of ambitious climate mitigation scenarios. However, impacts on the ocean ecosystems are still poorly understood and need to be clarified before deployment. In light of the remaining uncertainties and global and regional limitations, we suggest to limit the maximum global deployment of ocean liming in integrated assessment models to 5 GtCO _2 /yr carbon uptake.
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spelling doaj-art-dbf0b751c2354b00b3067288149935ea2025-08-20T03:56:10ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262025-01-0120909400410.1088/1748-9326/adf12cOcean liming can help achieve the Paris climate targetJessica Strefler0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5279-4629Katarzyna Kowalczyk1Verena Hofbauer2Tabea Dorndorf3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1824-898XLavinia Baumstark4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6979-6671Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) , member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, GermanyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) , member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, GermanyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) , member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, GermanyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) , member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, GermanyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) , member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, GermanyTo stabilize global mean temperature and stay below critical thresholds, deep emission reductions have to be complemented with carbon dioxide removal. A broad portfolio of options is necessary to enable sufficient potential and mitigate sustainability concerns. So far, integrated assessment models have almost exclusively considered options on land. In this study, we show that ocean liming can make a substantial contribution to achieving ambitious climate mitigation targets. Due to the expected time needed for scale-up, the deployment potential in the first half of the century is limited, such that ocean liming can hardly reduce peak temperature. However, in the second half of the century, substantial deployment may be economically competitive. In addition, the availability of ocean liming reduces the dependence on other carbon removal options, and specifically on bioenergy. This could reduce the pressure on land and improve the sustainability of ambitious climate mitigation scenarios. However, impacts on the ocean ecosystems are still poorly understood and need to be clarified before deployment. In light of the remaining uncertainties and global and regional limitations, we suggest to limit the maximum global deployment of ocean liming in integrated assessment models to 5 GtCO _2 /yr carbon uptake.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf12cIAMclimate changeCDRcarbon dioxide removalnegative emissionsocean
spellingShingle Jessica Strefler
Katarzyna Kowalczyk
Verena Hofbauer
Tabea Dorndorf
Lavinia Baumstark
Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target
Environmental Research Letters
IAM
climate change
CDR
carbon dioxide removal
negative emissions
ocean
title Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target
title_full Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target
title_fullStr Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target
title_full_unstemmed Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target
title_short Ocean liming can help achieve the Paris climate target
title_sort ocean liming can help achieve the paris climate target
topic IAM
climate change
CDR
carbon dioxide removal
negative emissions
ocean
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf12c
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AT katarzynakowalczyk oceanlimingcanhelpachievetheparisclimatetarget
AT verenahofbauer oceanlimingcanhelpachievetheparisclimatetarget
AT tabeadorndorf oceanlimingcanhelpachievetheparisclimatetarget
AT laviniabaumstark oceanlimingcanhelpachievetheparisclimatetarget