A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia

ABSTRACT Objective This study aims to analyze the disease burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) caused by hyperglycemia and its changing trend, and to construct a visualization platform for disease burden and forecast trends on the Shiny platform. Materials and Methods Using data from the 2021 Glob...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jianxing Chen, Wenlinng Zeng, Dandan Dai, Yujin Tang, Yangwen Dong, Zilan Zhong, Miao Zhou, Jianhong Ye
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-06-01
Series:Journal of Diabetes Investigation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/jdi.70006
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849696617801711616
author Jianxing Chen
Wenlinng Zeng
Dandan Dai
Yujin Tang
Yangwen Dong
Zilan Zhong
Miao Zhou
Jianhong Ye
author_facet Jianxing Chen
Wenlinng Zeng
Dandan Dai
Yujin Tang
Yangwen Dong
Zilan Zhong
Miao Zhou
Jianhong Ye
author_sort Jianxing Chen
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Objective This study aims to analyze the disease burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) caused by hyperglycemia and its changing trend, and to construct a visualization platform for disease burden and forecast trends on the Shiny platform. Materials and Methods Using data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study, we analyzed deaths and disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) due to IHD triggered by hyperglycemia, with detailed analysis by region, gender, and age. The age‐period‐cohort model was used to assess the impact of age, cohort, and period on age‐standardized disease rates across different Socio‐Demographic Index (SDI) regions, and decomposition analysis was employed to disentangle the contributions of population, aging, and epidemiological changes. Results In 2021, approximately 14–15% of IHD's DALYs and deaths were attributed to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG), with a nonsignificant decrease in the annual average percentage change of DALYs. In middle, low‐middle, and low SDI regions, the age‐standardized mortality rates caused by HFPG are increasing, particularly among males. In high‐middle and high SDI regions, the effects of aging and epidemiological changes surpass population growth, whereas in low SDI regions, population growth is the main factor. By 2050, the global Age‐Standardized Mortality Rate of IHD attributed to HFPG is projected to reach 16.96. More data can be accessed by visiting the disease burden visualization platform. Conclusion Global HFPG‐induced IHD health presents significant imbalances. In low SDI regions with larger populations and more unbalanced healthcare distribution, there is a need to strengthen the construction of medical levels.
format Article
id doaj-art-db8ee2b67a4645b4a6dc770a66c542b1
institution DOAJ
issn 2040-1116
2040-1124
language English
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Diabetes Investigation
spelling doaj-art-db8ee2b67a4645b4a6dc770a66c542b12025-08-20T03:19:24ZengWileyJournal of Diabetes Investigation2040-11162040-11242025-06-011661065108010.1111/jdi.70006A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemiaJianxing Chen0Wenlinng Zeng1Dandan Dai2Yujin Tang3Yangwen Dong4Zilan Zhong5Miao Zhou6Jianhong Ye7Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine Dongguan ChinaNanchang University Nanchang ChinaGuangzhou University of Chinese Medicine Guangzhou ChinaEighth Clinical School Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine Foshan Guangdong ChinaGuangzhou University of Chinese Medicine Guangzhou ChinaGuangzhou University of Chinese Medicine Guangzhou ChinaFoshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine Foshan ChinaFoshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine Foshan ChinaABSTRACT Objective This study aims to analyze the disease burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) caused by hyperglycemia and its changing trend, and to construct a visualization platform for disease burden and forecast trends on the Shiny platform. Materials and Methods Using data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study, we analyzed deaths and disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) due to IHD triggered by hyperglycemia, with detailed analysis by region, gender, and age. The age‐period‐cohort model was used to assess the impact of age, cohort, and period on age‐standardized disease rates across different Socio‐Demographic Index (SDI) regions, and decomposition analysis was employed to disentangle the contributions of population, aging, and epidemiological changes. Results In 2021, approximately 14–15% of IHD's DALYs and deaths were attributed to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG), with a nonsignificant decrease in the annual average percentage change of DALYs. In middle, low‐middle, and low SDI regions, the age‐standardized mortality rates caused by HFPG are increasing, particularly among males. In high‐middle and high SDI regions, the effects of aging and epidemiological changes surpass population growth, whereas in low SDI regions, population growth is the main factor. By 2050, the global Age‐Standardized Mortality Rate of IHD attributed to HFPG is projected to reach 16.96. More data can be accessed by visiting the disease burden visualization platform. Conclusion Global HFPG‐induced IHD health presents significant imbalances. In low SDI regions with larger populations and more unbalanced healthcare distribution, there is a need to strengthen the construction of medical levels.https://doi.org/10.1111/jdi.70006Disease burdenHyperglycemiaIschemic heart disease
spellingShingle Jianxing Chen
Wenlinng Zeng
Dandan Dai
Yujin Tang
Yangwen Dong
Zilan Zhong
Miao Zhou
Jianhong Ye
A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
Journal of Diabetes Investigation
Disease burden
Hyperglycemia
Ischemic heart disease
title A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
title_full A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
title_fullStr A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
title_full_unstemmed A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
title_short A systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
title_sort systematic analysis and prediction of the disease burden of ischemic heart disease caused by hyperglycemia
topic Disease burden
Hyperglycemia
Ischemic heart disease
url https://doi.org/10.1111/jdi.70006
work_keys_str_mv AT jianxingchen asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT wenlinngzeng asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT dandandai asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT yujintang asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT yangwendong asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT zilanzhong asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT miaozhou asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT jianhongye asystematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT jianxingchen systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT wenlinngzeng systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT dandandai systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT yujintang systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT yangwendong systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT zilanzhong systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT miaozhou systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia
AT jianhongye systematicanalysisandpredictionofthediseaseburdenofischemicheartdiseasecausedbyhyperglycemia