Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India
Electric load forecasting is an essential task for Distribution System Operators in order to achieve proper planning, high integration of small-scale production from renewable energy sources, and to define effective marketing strategies. In this framework, machine learning and data dimensionality re...
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MDPI AG
2025-03-01
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| Series: | Computation |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-3197/13/3/75 |
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| author | Venkataramana Veeramsetty Prabhu Kiran Konda Rakesh Chandra Dongari Surender Reddy Salkuti |
| author_facet | Venkataramana Veeramsetty Prabhu Kiran Konda Rakesh Chandra Dongari Surender Reddy Salkuti |
| author_sort | Venkataramana Veeramsetty |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Electric load forecasting is an essential task for Distribution System Operators in order to achieve proper planning, high integration of small-scale production from renewable energy sources, and to define effective marketing strategies. In this framework, machine learning and data dimensionality reduction techniques can be useful for building more efficient tools for electrical energy load prediction. In this paper, a machine learning model based on a combination of a radial basis function neural network and an autoencoder is used to forecast the electric load on a 33/11 kV substation located in Godishala, Warangal, India. One year of historical data on an electrical substation and weather are considered to assess the effectiveness of the proposed model. The impact of weather, day, and season status on load forecasting is also considered. The input dataset dimensionality is reduced using autoencoder to build a light-weight machine learning model to be deployed on edge devices. The proposed methodology is supported by a comparison with the state of the art based on extensive numerical simulations. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-db772e6f495c4c0db52ea2f9a3cbac43 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2079-3197 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Computation |
| spelling | doaj-art-db772e6f495c4c0db52ea2f9a3cbac432025-08-20T02:42:46ZengMDPI AGComputation2079-31972025-03-011337510.3390/computation13030075Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in IndiaVenkataramana Veeramsetty0Prabhu Kiran Konda1Rakesh Chandra Dongari2Surender Reddy Salkuti3Center for AI and Deep Learning, School of Computer Science and AI, SR University, Warangal 506371, IndiaDepartment of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, SR University, Warangal 506371, IndiaDepartment of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Kakatiya Institute of Technology and Science (KITS), Warangal 506371, IndiaDepartment of Railroad and Electrical Engineering, Woosong University, Daejeon 34606, Republic of KoreaElectric load forecasting is an essential task for Distribution System Operators in order to achieve proper planning, high integration of small-scale production from renewable energy sources, and to define effective marketing strategies. In this framework, machine learning and data dimensionality reduction techniques can be useful for building more efficient tools for electrical energy load prediction. In this paper, a machine learning model based on a combination of a radial basis function neural network and an autoencoder is used to forecast the electric load on a 33/11 kV substation located in Godishala, Warangal, India. One year of historical data on an electrical substation and weather are considered to assess the effectiveness of the proposed model. The impact of weather, day, and season status on load forecasting is also considered. The input dataset dimensionality is reduced using autoencoder to build a light-weight machine learning model to be deployed on edge devices. The proposed methodology is supported by a comparison with the state of the art based on extensive numerical simulations.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-3197/13/3/75radial basis function neural networkautoencoderelectric power loadforecastingmachine learning |
| spellingShingle | Venkataramana Veeramsetty Prabhu Kiran Konda Rakesh Chandra Dongari Surender Reddy Salkuti Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India Computation radial basis function neural network autoencoder electric power load forecasting machine learning |
| title | Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India |
| title_full | Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India |
| title_fullStr | Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India |
| title_full_unstemmed | Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India |
| title_short | Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Substation Using Autoencoder and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks: A Case Study in India |
| title_sort | short term load forecasting in distribution substation using autoencoder and radial basis function neural networks a case study in india |
| topic | radial basis function neural network autoencoder electric power load forecasting machine learning |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-3197/13/3/75 |
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