Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model

With the rapid advancement of urbanization, traffic congestion and parking shortages have emerged as critical challenges for modern cities. Accurate parking demand forecasting plays a pivotal role in supporting intelligent traffic management, resource allocation, and the efficient operation of parki...

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Main Authors: Jimei Ma, Zhong Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10982176/
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author Jimei Ma
Zhong Wang
author_facet Jimei Ma
Zhong Wang
author_sort Jimei Ma
collection DOAJ
description With the rapid advancement of urbanization, traffic congestion and parking shortages have emerged as critical challenges for modern cities. Accurate parking demand forecasting plays a pivotal role in supporting intelligent traffic management, resource allocation, and the efficient operation of parking facilities. While deep learning techniques have notably enhanced prediction capabilities, current studies often fail to effectively combine the strengths of diverse model architectures. In this study, we propose a hybrid forecasting model—xLSTM-Informer—which integrates the Extended Long Short-Term Memory Network (xLSTM) and the Informer architecture. To validate the model’s generalizability and scalability, we extend our analysis beyond a single commercial parking lot and include four additional sites representing diverse urban land-use types—office, residential, hospital, and transit hub areas—across different spatial scales. Extensive experiments conducted on real-world hourly parking datasets demonstrate that the proposed xLSTM-Informer model consistently outperforms baseline models. Notably, it achieves a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 3.93% for vehicle entry and 8.66% for vehicle exit prediction, along with strong performance in R2, RMSE, and MAE metrics. These results highlight the model’s robustness, high accuracy, and potential for practical deployment in city-scale parking demand forecasting.
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spelling doaj-art-dab2219fd4014e2d821c8265fefd6ab72025-08-20T01:50:00ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113806018061110.1109/ACCESS.2025.356645810982176Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer ModelJimei Ma0https://orcid.org/0009-0004-2846-3354Zhong Wang1Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaDalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaWith the rapid advancement of urbanization, traffic congestion and parking shortages have emerged as critical challenges for modern cities. Accurate parking demand forecasting plays a pivotal role in supporting intelligent traffic management, resource allocation, and the efficient operation of parking facilities. While deep learning techniques have notably enhanced prediction capabilities, current studies often fail to effectively combine the strengths of diverse model architectures. In this study, we propose a hybrid forecasting model—xLSTM-Informer—which integrates the Extended Long Short-Term Memory Network (xLSTM) and the Informer architecture. To validate the model’s generalizability and scalability, we extend our analysis beyond a single commercial parking lot and include four additional sites representing diverse urban land-use types—office, residential, hospital, and transit hub areas—across different spatial scales. Extensive experiments conducted on real-world hourly parking datasets demonstrate that the proposed xLSTM-Informer model consistently outperforms baseline models. Notably, it achieves a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 3.93% for vehicle entry and 8.66% for vehicle exit prediction, along with strong performance in R2, RMSE, and MAE metrics. These results highlight the model’s robustness, high accuracy, and potential for practical deployment in city-scale parking demand forecasting.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10982176/xLSTMinformerurban parking demand forecastingdeep learning
spellingShingle Jimei Ma
Zhong Wang
Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model
IEEE Access
xLSTM
informer
urban parking demand forecasting
deep learning
title Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model
title_full Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model
title_fullStr Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model
title_full_unstemmed Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model
title_short Urban Parking Demand Forecasting Using xLSTM-Informer Model
title_sort urban parking demand forecasting using xlstm informer model
topic xLSTM
informer
urban parking demand forecasting
deep learning
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10982176/
work_keys_str_mv AT jimeima urbanparkingdemandforecastingusingxlstminformermodel
AT zhongwang urbanparkingdemandforecastingusingxlstminformermodel