Non-invasive identification of TKI-resistant NSCLC: a multi-model AI approach for predicting EGFR/TP53 co-mutations

Abstract Objectives To investigate the value of multi-model based on preoperative CT scans in predicting EGFR/TP53 co-mutation status. Methods We retrospectively included 2171 patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) scans and predicting epidermal...

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Main Authors: Jiayi Li, Renjie Xu, Dan Wang, Zhanlue Liang, Yangqian Li, Qinglan Wang, Lingfeng Bi, Yawen Qi, Yaojie Zhou, Weimin Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-07-01
Series:BMC Pulmonary Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-025-03805-8
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Summary:Abstract Objectives To investigate the value of multi-model based on preoperative CT scans in predicting EGFR/TP53 co-mutation status. Methods We retrospectively included 2171 patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) scans and predicting epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) gene sequencing from West China Hospital between January 2013 and April 2024. The deep-learning model was built for predicting EGFR / tumor protein 53 (TP53) co-occurrence status. The model performance was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC) and Kaplan-Meier analysis. We further compared multi-dimension model with three one-dimension models separately, and we explored the value of combining clinical factors with machine-learning factors. Additionally, we investigated 546 patients with 56-panel next-generation sequencing and low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) to explore the biological mechanisms of radiomics. Results In our cohort of 2171 patients (1,153 males, 1,018 females; median age 60 years), single-dimensional models were developed using data from 1,055 eligible patients. The multi-dimensional model utilizing a Random Forest classifier achieved superior performance, yielding the highest AUC of 0.843 for predicting EGFR/TP53 co-mutations in the test set. Conclusion The multi-dimensional model demonstrates promising potential for non-invasive prediction of EGFR and TP53 co-mutations, facilitating early and informed clinical decision-making in NSCLC patients at risk of treatment resistance.
ISSN:1471-2466