Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe

The availability of bank loans is a vital component in determining the investment and spending patterns that influence economic growth. This article examines the threshold effect of loan growth on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the Zimbabwean banking industry during dollarization. The study employe...

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Main Authors: Blessing Katuka, Calvin Mudzingiri, Edson Vengesai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius University Press 2024-05-01
Series:Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.journals.vu.lt/omee/article/view/32122
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author Blessing Katuka
Calvin Mudzingiri
Edson Vengesai
author_facet Blessing Katuka
Calvin Mudzingiri
Edson Vengesai
author_sort Blessing Katuka
collection DOAJ
description The availability of bank loans is a vital component in determining the investment and spending patterns that influence economic growth. This article examines the threshold effect of loan growth on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the Zimbabwean banking industry during dollarization. The study employed panel threshold regression models developed by Seo et al. (2019) and Kremer et al. (2013) on a panel of thirteen banks from 2009 to 2017. The study revealed that locally owned banks held a higher percentage of NPLs (12.7%) than foreign-owned banks (6.1%) during the period under study. The study also documents a loan growth threshold level of 38%. On average, the industry lends excessively, as demonstrated by the 48% loan growth rate. Primarily, local banks dominate this rate by lending above the threshold compared to foreign banks. The study observed that, below and above the threshold, loan growth exerts a negative and significant effect on NPLs. Based on the results, it can be recommended that banks should devise strategies to maintain a steady loan growth rate, enhance profitability, and effectively monitor liquidity risk exposure. The findings provide insights into reviewing bank credit policies and prudential guidelines.
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institution Kabale University
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series Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies
spelling doaj-art-da1715a0cd8a4128919356103157760b2025-01-20T18:21:41ZengVilnius University PressOrganizations and Markets in Emerging Economies2029-45812345-00372024-05-01151(30)10.15388/omee.2024.15.8Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in ZimbabweBlessing Katuka0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4716-8399Calvin Mudzingiri1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1186-4109Edson Vengesai2University of the Free State, South AfricaUniversity of the Free State, South AfricaUniversity of the Free State, South Africa The availability of bank loans is a vital component in determining the investment and spending patterns that influence economic growth. This article examines the threshold effect of loan growth on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the Zimbabwean banking industry during dollarization. The study employed panel threshold regression models developed by Seo et al. (2019) and Kremer et al. (2013) on a panel of thirteen banks from 2009 to 2017. The study revealed that locally owned banks held a higher percentage of NPLs (12.7%) than foreign-owned banks (6.1%) during the period under study. The study also documents a loan growth threshold level of 38%. On average, the industry lends excessively, as demonstrated by the 48% loan growth rate. Primarily, local banks dominate this rate by lending above the threshold compared to foreign banks. The study observed that, below and above the threshold, loan growth exerts a negative and significant effect on NPLs. Based on the results, it can be recommended that banks should devise strategies to maintain a steady loan growth rate, enhance profitability, and effectively monitor liquidity risk exposure. The findings provide insights into reviewing bank credit policies and prudential guidelines. https://www.journals.vu.lt/omee/article/view/32122non-performing loansexcessive lendingmoral hazardpanel threshold regressionZimbabwe
spellingShingle Blessing Katuka
Calvin Mudzingiri
Edson Vengesai
Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe
Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies
non-performing loans
excessive lending
moral hazard
panel threshold regression
Zimbabwe
title Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe
title_full Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe
title_fullStr Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe
title_full_unstemmed Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe
title_short Unraveling the Loan Growth Threshold Effect on Non-Performing Loans During Total Dollarization in Zimbabwe
title_sort unraveling the loan growth threshold effect on non performing loans during total dollarization in zimbabwe
topic non-performing loans
excessive lending
moral hazard
panel threshold regression
Zimbabwe
url https://www.journals.vu.lt/omee/article/view/32122
work_keys_str_mv AT blessingkatuka unravelingtheloangrowththresholdeffectonnonperformingloansduringtotaldollarizationinzimbabwe
AT calvinmudzingiri unravelingtheloangrowththresholdeffectonnonperformingloansduringtotaldollarizationinzimbabwe
AT edsonvengesai unravelingtheloangrowththresholdeffectonnonperformingloansduringtotaldollarizationinzimbabwe