Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties

[Objective] A robust multi-stage planning model is established for a park-level integrated energy system (PIES) to minimize the total life-cycle present-value cost while considering source-load uncertainties, optimal construction sequencing, and tiered carbon trading to enhance economic efficiency a...

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Main Author: JIANG Xunpu, BAO Zhejing, YU Miao, GUO Chuangxin, GUO Yuanyue, WANG Jian
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Electric Power Construction 2025-04-01
Series:Dianli jianshe
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Online Access:https://www.cepc.com.cn/fileup/1000-7229/PDF/1743057868101-1704610493.pdf
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author JIANG Xunpu, BAO Zhejing, YU Miao, GUO Chuangxin, GUO Yuanyue, WANG Jian
author_facet JIANG Xunpu, BAO Zhejing, YU Miao, GUO Chuangxin, GUO Yuanyue, WANG Jian
author_sort JIANG Xunpu, BAO Zhejing, YU Miao, GUO Chuangxin, GUO Yuanyue, WANG Jian
collection DOAJ
description [Objective] A robust multi-stage planning model is established for a park-level integrated energy system (PIES) to minimize the total life-cycle present-value cost while considering source-load uncertainties, optimal construction sequencing, and tiered carbon trading to enhance economic efficiency and low-carbon benefits. [Methods] First, a box-type uncertainty set is used to model the source-load uncertainty and uncertainty adjustment parameters are introduced to reduce the conservatism of PIES planning and obtain a two-stage robust optimization (TSRO) model. Both discrete and continuous variables are included in the second-stage decision variables of the TSRO model, facilitating directly solving the second-stage problem using Lagrangian duality theory. Instead, an additional nested layer is required to solve the model. Therefore, this paper employs the nested column-and-constraint generation (NC&CG) algorithm to solve the model. [Results] Simulation results show that the robust programming model can improve the robustness of the system by sacrificing the economic and low-carbon benefits of the system to a certain extent and can flexibly adjust the robustness of the PIES planning scheme by changing the value of the uncertainty parameters. [Conclusions] The proposed multi-stage planning approach accounts for load growth and source-load uncertainties from a long-term system development perspective, thereby improving the flexibility and adaptability of the planning scheme.
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publisher Editorial Department of Electric Power Construction
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spelling doaj-art-d9c6f6ff1eb245dbb543d4071c654df02025-08-20T01:50:07ZzhoEditorial Department of Electric Power ConstructionDianli jianshe1000-72292025-04-014649911210.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2025.04.009Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load UncertaintiesJIANG Xunpu, BAO Zhejing, YU Miao, GUO Chuangxin, GUO Yuanyue, WANG Jian01. Polytechnic Institute, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310015, China;2. School of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China;3. Hangzhou Sunrise Technology Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 311121, China[Objective] A robust multi-stage planning model is established for a park-level integrated energy system (PIES) to minimize the total life-cycle present-value cost while considering source-load uncertainties, optimal construction sequencing, and tiered carbon trading to enhance economic efficiency and low-carbon benefits. [Methods] First, a box-type uncertainty set is used to model the source-load uncertainty and uncertainty adjustment parameters are introduced to reduce the conservatism of PIES planning and obtain a two-stage robust optimization (TSRO) model. Both discrete and continuous variables are included in the second-stage decision variables of the TSRO model, facilitating directly solving the second-stage problem using Lagrangian duality theory. Instead, an additional nested layer is required to solve the model. Therefore, this paper employs the nested column-and-constraint generation (NC&CG) algorithm to solve the model. [Results] Simulation results show that the robust programming model can improve the robustness of the system by sacrificing the economic and low-carbon benefits of the system to a certain extent and can flexibly adjust the robustness of the PIES planning scheme by changing the value of the uncertainty parameters. [Conclusions] The proposed multi-stage planning approach accounts for load growth and source-load uncertainties from a long-term system development perspective, thereby improving the flexibility and adaptability of the planning scheme.https://www.cepc.com.cn/fileup/1000-7229/PDF/1743057868101-1704610493.pdfpark-level integrated energy system|source-load uncertainties|multi-stage planning|nested column and constraint generation algorithm
spellingShingle JIANG Xunpu, BAO Zhejing, YU Miao, GUO Chuangxin, GUO Yuanyue, WANG Jian
Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties
Dianli jianshe
park-level integrated energy system|source-load uncertainties|multi-stage planning|nested column and constraint generation algorithm
title Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties
title_full Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties
title_fullStr Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties
title_short Robust Multi-Stage Planning of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Source-Load Uncertainties
title_sort robust multi stage planning of park level integrated energy system considering source load uncertainties
topic park-level integrated energy system|source-load uncertainties|multi-stage planning|nested column and constraint generation algorithm
url https://www.cepc.com.cn/fileup/1000-7229/PDF/1743057868101-1704610493.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT jiangxunpubaozhejingyumiaoguochuangxinguoyuanyuewangjian robustmultistageplanningofparklevelintegratedenergysystemconsideringsourceloaduncertainties