APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY

The article examines scenario planning as a tool for long-term forecasting of airlines activity in an uncertainty. This method is compared to linear programming (linear scheduling method) with their advantages and disadvantages being discussed. Scenario analysis is shown as a main tool in scenario-b...

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Main Author: G. V. Kreneva
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation 2016-11-01
Series:Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
Subjects:
Online Access:https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/543
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author G. V. Kreneva
author_facet G. V. Kreneva
author_sort G. V. Kreneva
collection DOAJ
description The article examines scenario planning as a tool for long-term forecasting of airlines activity in an uncertainty. This method is compared to linear programming (linear scheduling method) with their advantages and disadvantages being discussed. Scenario analysis is shown as a main tool in scenario-based forecasting. The scheme of scenario development is performed. Scenario planning experience in European airlines is considered. Uncertainty factors faced by Russian airlines are analysed. In the conclusion the author proposes to apply scenario planning widely as it will be useful for long-term planning in Russian airlines and will sustain their competitiveness and efficiency.
format Article
id doaj-art-d965fb156b90495eaa0ea4e0da1cb7f3
institution DOAJ
issn 2079-0619
2542-0119
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publishDate 2016-11-01
publisher Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation
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series Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
spelling doaj-art-d965fb156b90495eaa0ea4e0da1cb7f32025-08-20T03:21:38ZrusMoscow State Technical University of Civil AviationНаучный вестник МГТУ ГА2079-06192542-01192016-11-012147479543APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITYG. V. Kreneva0МГТУ ГАThe article examines scenario planning as a tool for long-term forecasting of airlines activity in an uncertainty. This method is compared to linear programming (linear scheduling method) with their advantages and disadvantages being discussed. Scenario analysis is shown as a main tool in scenario-based forecasting. The scheme of scenario development is performed. Scenario planning experience in European airlines is considered. Uncertainty factors faced by Russian airlines are analysed. In the conclusion the author proposes to apply scenario planning widely as it will be useful for long-term planning in Russian airlines and will sustain their competitiveness and efficiency.https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/543scenario planninglinear programming (linear scheduling method)scenario analysislow cost carriersuncertainty factors
spellingShingle G. V. Kreneva
APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY
Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
scenario planning
linear programming (linear scheduling method)
scenario analysis
low cost carriers
uncertainty factors
title APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY
title_full APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY
title_fullStr APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY
title_full_unstemmed APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY
title_short APPLIANCE OF SCENARIO PLANNING METHOD FOR RUSSIAN AIRLINES ACTIVITY
title_sort appliance of scenario planning method for russian airlines activity
topic scenario planning
linear programming (linear scheduling method)
scenario analysis
low cost carriers
uncertainty factors
url https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/543
work_keys_str_mv AT gvkreneva applianceofscenarioplanningmethodforrussianairlinesactivity