Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up

In recent years, scientists have discovered ancient viruses beneath glaciers. As the climate continues to warm, these ancient viruses are gradually released, posing a threat to global public health. The common response strategies to ancient viruses include scientific research monitoring, developing...

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Main Author: Yu Gu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-12-01
Series:Sustainable Futures
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825002734
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author Yu Gu
author_facet Yu Gu
author_sort Yu Gu
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, scientists have discovered ancient viruses beneath glaciers. As the climate continues to warm, these ancient viruses are gradually released, posing a threat to global public health. The common response strategies to ancient viruses include scientific research monitoring, developing rapid diagnostic techniques, and expanding public infrastructure. To determine the appropriate scope for each of these response strategies, this article constructs three differential game models and compares and analyses the equilibrium results derived from the models. The study finds that when the benefit gained per unit of ancient virus addressed is low, the strategy of developing rapid diagnostic technologies yields the greatest societal benefit for governments. Conversely, when the benefit gained per unit of ancient virus addressed is high, the strategy of expanding public infrastructure enables governments to achieve the greatest societal benefits. If the costs of addressing ancient viruses and the benefits derived are high, then societal forces can obtain the greatest societal benefit under the scientific research monitoring strategy. Otherwise, societal forces can achieve the greatest societal benefit with the strategy of developing rapid diagnostic technologies.
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spelling doaj-art-d9090fb2a09a47a88c654095cb9514d02025-08-20T03:24:16ZengElsevierSustainable Futures2666-18882025-12-011010070610.1016/j.sftr.2025.100706Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms upYu Gu0Corresponding author.; Business School, Shandong Management University, Jinan, 250357, PR ChinaIn recent years, scientists have discovered ancient viruses beneath glaciers. As the climate continues to warm, these ancient viruses are gradually released, posing a threat to global public health. The common response strategies to ancient viruses include scientific research monitoring, developing rapid diagnostic techniques, and expanding public infrastructure. To determine the appropriate scope for each of these response strategies, this article constructs three differential game models and compares and analyses the equilibrium results derived from the models. The study finds that when the benefit gained per unit of ancient virus addressed is low, the strategy of developing rapid diagnostic technologies yields the greatest societal benefit for governments. Conversely, when the benefit gained per unit of ancient virus addressed is high, the strategy of expanding public infrastructure enables governments to achieve the greatest societal benefits. If the costs of addressing ancient viruses and the benefits derived are high, then societal forces can obtain the greatest societal benefit under the scientific research monitoring strategy. Otherwise, societal forces can achieve the greatest societal benefit with the strategy of developing rapid diagnostic technologies.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825002734Distant virusesPublic healthDifferential gamesGovernment governanceMaximizing effectiveness
spellingShingle Yu Gu
Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
Sustainable Futures
Distant viruses
Public health
Differential games
Government governance
Maximizing effectiveness
title Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
title_full Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
title_fullStr Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
title_full_unstemmed Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
title_short Scientific monitoring, development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure? How to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
title_sort scientific monitoring development of rapid diagnostic techniques or increase in public infrastructure how to effectively deal with ancient viruses under glaciers as the climate warms up
topic Distant viruses
Public health
Differential games
Government governance
Maximizing effectiveness
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825002734
work_keys_str_mv AT yugu scientificmonitoringdevelopmentofrapiddiagnostictechniquesorincreaseinpublicinfrastructurehowtoeffectivelydealwithancientvirusesunderglaciersastheclimatewarmsup