Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye
This study examines the effects of key climatic factors—temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric CO2—on the yields of two crops in Turkiye: barley and peas. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology with time series data from 1981 to 2020, we investigate both sho...
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Institute of Economic Develoment and Social Researches
2025-06-01
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| Series: | ISPEC Journal of Agricultural Sciences |
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| Online Access: | https://ispecjournal.com/index.php/ispecjas/article/view/738 |
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| author | Muhammed BENLİ |
| author_facet | Muhammed BENLİ |
| author_sort | Muhammed BENLİ |
| collection | DOAJ |
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This study examines the effects of key climatic factors—temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric CO2—on the yields of two crops in Turkiye: barley and peas. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology with time series data from 1981 to 2020, we investigate both short-term and long-term relationships between these environmental variables and crop yields. Our findings reveal that barley yields exhibit a cointegration relationship with climatic factors, indicating a stable long-term equilibrium, while pea shows no such enduring association, suggesting it is more sensitive to short-term fluctuations. The results underscore the resilience of barley in adapting to sustained environmental changes, contrasting with the immediate but transient responses observed for peas. These findings have important implications for agricultural management and policy, particularly in addressing crop-specific adaptation strategies under increasing climatic variability. Policies focused on enhancing soil health, optimizing irrigation, and promoting climate-resilient crop varieties could help bolster food security and agricultural sustainability in Turkiye. Future research could further explore adaptive measures and examine other region-specific variables that might influence crop yield dynamics in the context of a changing climate.
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| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d89ee42415ee46aa80242e897a45e855 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2717-7238 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-06-01 |
| publisher | Institute of Economic Develoment and Social Researches |
| record_format | Article |
| series | ISPEC Journal of Agricultural Sciences |
| spelling | doaj-art-d89ee42415ee46aa80242e897a45e8552025-08-20T02:03:20ZengInstitute of Economic Develoment and Social ResearchesISPEC Journal of Agricultural Sciences2717-72382025-06-019210.5281/zenodo.15182577Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in TurkiyeMuhammed BENLİ0Bilecik Seyh Edebali University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Bilecik This study examines the effects of key climatic factors—temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric CO2—on the yields of two crops in Turkiye: barley and peas. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology with time series data from 1981 to 2020, we investigate both short-term and long-term relationships between these environmental variables and crop yields. Our findings reveal that barley yields exhibit a cointegration relationship with climatic factors, indicating a stable long-term equilibrium, while pea shows no such enduring association, suggesting it is more sensitive to short-term fluctuations. The results underscore the resilience of barley in adapting to sustained environmental changes, contrasting with the immediate but transient responses observed for peas. These findings have important implications for agricultural management and policy, particularly in addressing crop-specific adaptation strategies under increasing climatic variability. Policies focused on enhancing soil health, optimizing irrigation, and promoting climate-resilient crop varieties could help bolster food security and agricultural sustainability in Turkiye. Future research could further explore adaptive measures and examine other region-specific variables that might influence crop yield dynamics in the context of a changing climate. https://ispecjournal.com/index.php/ispecjas/article/view/738ARDLclimate changecrop yields |
| spellingShingle | Muhammed BENLİ Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye ISPEC Journal of Agricultural Sciences ARDL climate change crop yields |
| title | Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye |
| title_full | Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye |
| title_fullStr | Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye |
| title_full_unstemmed | Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye |
| title_short | Adapting to Climate Variability: The Role of Environmental Factors in Crop Yield Stability in Turkiye |
| title_sort | adapting to climate variability the role of environmental factors in crop yield stability in turkiye |
| topic | ARDL climate change crop yields |
| url | https://ispecjournal.com/index.php/ispecjas/article/view/738 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT muhammedbenli adaptingtoclimatevariabilitytheroleofenvironmentalfactorsincropyieldstabilityinturkiye |