Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City

With the rapid development of the urban agglomerations in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-MacaoGreater Bay Area, urban waterlogging has drawn great attention from society and scholars. In orderto explore the probability of waterlogging risks in a specific city and provide scientific basisfor the study of ur...

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Main Authors: YANG Fan, XU Liang, HAN Jing
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2020-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.04.003
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author YANG Fan
XU Liang
HAN Jing
author_facet YANG Fan
XU Liang
HAN Jing
author_sort YANG Fan
collection DOAJ
description With the rapid development of the urban agglomerations in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-MacaoGreater Bay Area, urban waterlogging has drawn great attention from society and scholars. In orderto explore the probability of waterlogging risks in a specific city and provide scientific basisfor the study of urban waterlogging risks in the Pearl River Delta region, from the perspective ofthe causes of waterlogging, this paper takes Foshan as a typical research area, systematicallyanalyzes the probability of encountering storms and high tide levels, constructs a probabilisticmodel for the risk of encounter of rainstorm and high tidal level in urban area of Foshan, andquantitatively evaluates the encounter probabilities and change trend under multiple combinationsof rainstrom and tidal levels in urban area of Foshan by the time-series trend analysis, stormfrequency change statistics, sequence wavelet analysis, and Copula function. The study shows thatsince 2000, the number of rainstorms in urban area of Foshan increased, and the encounterprobability of rainstorm and high tidal level was high, so the risk probability was high. Theresults can provide an important scientific basis for urban flood control and drainage.
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publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
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spelling doaj-art-d85474b4f3044adfa4ff40794ad30f122025-08-20T02:42:01ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352020-01-014147652247Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan CityYANG FanXU LiangHAN JingWith the rapid development of the urban agglomerations in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-MacaoGreater Bay Area, urban waterlogging has drawn great attention from society and scholars. In orderto explore the probability of waterlogging risks in a specific city and provide scientific basisfor the study of urban waterlogging risks in the Pearl River Delta region, from the perspective ofthe causes of waterlogging, this paper takes Foshan as a typical research area, systematicallyanalyzes the probability of encountering storms and high tide levels, constructs a probabilisticmodel for the risk of encounter of rainstorm and high tidal level in urban area of Foshan, andquantitatively evaluates the encounter probabilities and change trend under multiple combinationsof rainstrom and tidal levels in urban area of Foshan by the time-series trend analysis, stormfrequency change statistics, sequence wavelet analysis, and Copula function. The study shows thatsince 2000, the number of rainstorms in urban area of Foshan increased, and the encounterprobability of rainstorm and high tidal level was high, so the risk probability was high. Theresults can provide an important scientific basis for urban flood control and drainage.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.04.003rainstorm characteristicsfrequency analysisprobabilistic modelurban waterloggingFoshan city
spellingShingle YANG Fan
XU Liang
HAN Jing
Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City
Renmin Zhujiang
rainstorm characteristics
frequency analysis
probabilistic model
urban waterlogging
Foshan city
title Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City
title_full Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City
title_fullStr Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City
title_full_unstemmed Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City
title_short Risk Analysis of Waterlogging under Combination of Short-duration Heavy Rainfall and Tidal Level in Foshan City
title_sort risk analysis of waterlogging under combination of short duration heavy rainfall and tidal level in foshan city
topic rainstorm characteristics
frequency analysis
probabilistic model
urban waterlogging
Foshan city
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.04.003
work_keys_str_mv AT yangfan riskanalysisofwaterloggingundercombinationofshortdurationheavyrainfallandtidallevelinfoshancity
AT xuliang riskanalysisofwaterloggingundercombinationofshortdurationheavyrainfallandtidallevelinfoshancity
AT hanjing riskanalysisofwaterloggingundercombinationofshortdurationheavyrainfallandtidallevelinfoshancity