Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

<h4>Background</h4>In the absence of clinical trials providing direct efficacy results, this study compares different methods of indirect treatment comparison (ITC), and their respective impacts on efficacy estimates for lenvatinib (LEN) plus everolimus (EVE) combination therapy compared...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gabriel Tremblay, Heather J McElroy, Tracy Westley, Genevieve Meier, Derek Misurski, Matthew Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2019-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0212899&type=printable
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850076233278160896
author Gabriel Tremblay
Heather J McElroy
Tracy Westley
Genevieve Meier
Derek Misurski
Matthew Guo
author_facet Gabriel Tremblay
Heather J McElroy
Tracy Westley
Genevieve Meier
Derek Misurski
Matthew Guo
author_sort Gabriel Tremblay
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>In the absence of clinical trials providing direct efficacy results, this study compares different methods of indirect treatment comparison (ITC), and their respective impacts on efficacy estimates for lenvatinib (LEN) plus everolimus (EVE) combination therapy compared to other second-line treatments for advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma (a/mRCC).<h4>Methods</h4>Using EVE alone as the common comparator, the Bucher method for ITC compared LEN + EVE with cabozantinib (CAB), nivolumab (NIV), placebo (PBO) and axitinib (AXI). Hazard ratios (HR) for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) estimated the impact of applying three versions of the LEN+EVE trial data in separate ITCs. Last, to overcome exchangeability bias and potential violations to the proportional hazards assumption, a network meta-analysis using fractional polynomials was performed.<h4>Results</h4>Bucher ITCs demonstrated LEN + EVE superiority over EVE for PFS, indirect superiority to NIV, AXI, and PBO, and no difference to CAB. For OS, LEN + EVE was superior to EVE and indirectly superior to PBO, applying original HOPE 205 data. Using European Medicines Agency data, LEN + EVE was directly superior to EVE for OS. Fractional polynomial HRs for PFS and OS substantially overlapped with Bucher estimates, demonstrating LEN+EVE superiority over EVE, alone, NIV, and CAB. However, there were no statistically significant results as the credible intervals for HR crossed 1.0.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Comparing three Bucher ITCs, LEN + EVE demonstrated superior PFS when indirectly compared to NIV, AXI, and PBO, and mixed results for OS. While fractional polynomial modelling for PFS and OS failed to find statistically significant differences in LEN + EVE efficacy, the overall HR trends were comparable.
format Article
id doaj-art-d8460822f04f40c4a5c2de5dd555d229
institution DOAJ
issn 1932-6203
language English
publishDate 2019-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj-art-d8460822f04f40c4a5c2de5dd555d2292025-08-20T02:46:04ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032019-01-01143e021289910.1371/journal.pone.0212899Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.Gabriel TremblayHeather J McElroyTracy WestleyGenevieve MeierDerek MisurskiMatthew Guo<h4>Background</h4>In the absence of clinical trials providing direct efficacy results, this study compares different methods of indirect treatment comparison (ITC), and their respective impacts on efficacy estimates for lenvatinib (LEN) plus everolimus (EVE) combination therapy compared to other second-line treatments for advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma (a/mRCC).<h4>Methods</h4>Using EVE alone as the common comparator, the Bucher method for ITC compared LEN + EVE with cabozantinib (CAB), nivolumab (NIV), placebo (PBO) and axitinib (AXI). Hazard ratios (HR) for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) estimated the impact of applying three versions of the LEN+EVE trial data in separate ITCs. Last, to overcome exchangeability bias and potential violations to the proportional hazards assumption, a network meta-analysis using fractional polynomials was performed.<h4>Results</h4>Bucher ITCs demonstrated LEN + EVE superiority over EVE for PFS, indirect superiority to NIV, AXI, and PBO, and no difference to CAB. For OS, LEN + EVE was superior to EVE and indirectly superior to PBO, applying original HOPE 205 data. Using European Medicines Agency data, LEN + EVE was directly superior to EVE for OS. Fractional polynomial HRs for PFS and OS substantially overlapped with Bucher estimates, demonstrating LEN+EVE superiority over EVE, alone, NIV, and CAB. However, there were no statistically significant results as the credible intervals for HR crossed 1.0.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Comparing three Bucher ITCs, LEN + EVE demonstrated superior PFS when indirectly compared to NIV, AXI, and PBO, and mixed results for OS. While fractional polynomial modelling for PFS and OS failed to find statistically significant differences in LEN + EVE efficacy, the overall HR trends were comparable.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0212899&type=printable
spellingShingle Gabriel Tremblay
Heather J McElroy
Tracy Westley
Genevieve Meier
Derek Misurski
Matthew Guo
Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.
PLoS ONE
title Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.
title_full Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.
title_fullStr Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.
title_full_unstemmed Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.
title_short Indirect treatment comparisons including network meta-analysis: Lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma.
title_sort indirect treatment comparisons including network meta analysis lenvatinib plus everolimus for the second line treatment of advanced metastatic renal cell carcinoma
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0212899&type=printable
work_keys_str_mv AT gabrieltremblay indirecttreatmentcomparisonsincludingnetworkmetaanalysislenvatinibpluseverolimusforthesecondlinetreatmentofadvancedmetastaticrenalcellcarcinoma
AT heatherjmcelroy indirecttreatmentcomparisonsincludingnetworkmetaanalysislenvatinibpluseverolimusforthesecondlinetreatmentofadvancedmetastaticrenalcellcarcinoma
AT tracywestley indirecttreatmentcomparisonsincludingnetworkmetaanalysislenvatinibpluseverolimusforthesecondlinetreatmentofadvancedmetastaticrenalcellcarcinoma
AT genevievemeier indirecttreatmentcomparisonsincludingnetworkmetaanalysislenvatinibpluseverolimusforthesecondlinetreatmentofadvancedmetastaticrenalcellcarcinoma
AT derekmisurski indirecttreatmentcomparisonsincludingnetworkmetaanalysislenvatinibpluseverolimusforthesecondlinetreatmentofadvancedmetastaticrenalcellcarcinoma
AT matthewguo indirecttreatmentcomparisonsincludingnetworkmetaanalysislenvatinibpluseverolimusforthesecondlinetreatmentofadvancedmetastaticrenalcellcarcinoma