El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023

Abstract In 2023, global ocean heat content reached unprecedented values since records began in 1960. The translation of global ocean heat into regional and local-scale ocean warming remains poorly understood because of limited observational data, particularly within Southeast Asia. Here, we investi...

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Main Authors: Fangyi Tan, Dhrubajyoti Samanta, Kyle Morgan, Patrick Martin, Stephen Chua, Zihan Aw, Isaac Lai, Aron J. Meltzner, Jingyu Wang, Benjamin P. Horton
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-05-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99511-w
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author Fangyi Tan
Dhrubajyoti Samanta
Kyle Morgan
Patrick Martin
Stephen Chua
Zihan Aw
Isaac Lai
Aron J. Meltzner
Jingyu Wang
Benjamin P. Horton
author_facet Fangyi Tan
Dhrubajyoti Samanta
Kyle Morgan
Patrick Martin
Stephen Chua
Zihan Aw
Isaac Lai
Aron J. Meltzner
Jingyu Wang
Benjamin P. Horton
author_sort Fangyi Tan
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In 2023, global ocean heat content reached unprecedented values since records began in 1960. The translation of global ocean heat into regional and local-scale ocean warming remains poorly understood because of limited observational data, particularly within Southeast Asia. Here, we investigate the 2023 ocean warming event in Southeast Asia using near-continuous 41-month in-situ ocean temperature observations from the Singapore Strait, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) measurements, and high-resolution reanalysis products. We document anomalous ocean warming across the Singapore Strait and surrounding South China Sea and Indonesian Seas to depths of at least 40 m. Peak SSTs of 1.8 °C above the climatological mean were recorded in the central Sunda Shelf in November 2023 for the first time in > 40 years. Concurrent anomalous freshening of the Singapore Strait was observed, with average salinity below the climatological mean from October to December. We identify a southward migration of warm temperature anomalies beginning with the onset of the El Niño in July 2023 near the Luzon Strait. This occurred alongside southward shifts in mean sea-level pressure and near-surface ocean currents in the region. We attribute these observations to the southward shift of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation latitude, which permitted the intrusion of Pacific western boundary currents into the South China Sea and Indonesian seas. Compared to the oceanic drivers, atmospheric forcings played a limited role in driving the ocean warming in 2023. Our study highlights El Niño as the key driver of the ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023, and emphasises the need for expanded continuous, in-situ ocean temperature monitoring to enhance understanding of evolving ocean-atmosphere dynamics and impacts in Southeast Asia under a warming climate.
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spelling doaj-art-d820f0e891bb45cfacc6a43ce2c0c2bb2025-08-20T01:49:42ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-05-0115111610.1038/s41598-025-99511-wEl Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023Fangyi Tan0Dhrubajyoti Samanta1Kyle Morgan2Patrick Martin3Stephen Chua4Zihan Aw5Isaac Lai6Aron J. Meltzner7Jingyu Wang8Benjamin P. Horton9Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityAsian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityHumanities and Social Studies Education, National Institute of EducationEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityAbstract In 2023, global ocean heat content reached unprecedented values since records began in 1960. The translation of global ocean heat into regional and local-scale ocean warming remains poorly understood because of limited observational data, particularly within Southeast Asia. Here, we investigate the 2023 ocean warming event in Southeast Asia using near-continuous 41-month in-situ ocean temperature observations from the Singapore Strait, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) measurements, and high-resolution reanalysis products. We document anomalous ocean warming across the Singapore Strait and surrounding South China Sea and Indonesian Seas to depths of at least 40 m. Peak SSTs of 1.8 °C above the climatological mean were recorded in the central Sunda Shelf in November 2023 for the first time in > 40 years. Concurrent anomalous freshening of the Singapore Strait was observed, with average salinity below the climatological mean from October to December. We identify a southward migration of warm temperature anomalies beginning with the onset of the El Niño in July 2023 near the Luzon Strait. This occurred alongside southward shifts in mean sea-level pressure and near-surface ocean currents in the region. We attribute these observations to the southward shift of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation latitude, which permitted the intrusion of Pacific western boundary currents into the South China Sea and Indonesian seas. Compared to the oceanic drivers, atmospheric forcings played a limited role in driving the ocean warming in 2023. Our study highlights El Niño as the key driver of the ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023, and emphasises the need for expanded continuous, in-situ ocean temperature monitoring to enhance understanding of evolving ocean-atmosphere dynamics and impacts in Southeast Asia under a warming climate.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99511-wOcean temperatureSingapore StraitSoutheast AsiaClimate changeEl-Niño Southern Oscillation
spellingShingle Fangyi Tan
Dhrubajyoti Samanta
Kyle Morgan
Patrick Martin
Stephen Chua
Zihan Aw
Isaac Lai
Aron J. Meltzner
Jingyu Wang
Benjamin P. Horton
El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023
Scientific Reports
Ocean temperature
Singapore Strait
Southeast Asia
Climate change
El-Niño Southern Oscillation
title El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023
title_full El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023
title_fullStr El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023
title_full_unstemmed El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023
title_short El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023
title_sort el nino was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in southeast asia in 2023
topic Ocean temperature
Singapore Strait
Southeast Asia
Climate change
El-Niño Southern Oscillation
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99511-w
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