Seasonal social dilemmas
Abstract Social dilemmas, where the collective interest is at odds with those of individuals, were widely discussed in the context of mitigating the spread of COVID-19. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as reducing personal contact or wearing masks to protect others were often viewed as s...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2025-05-01
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| Series: | npj Complexity |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s44260-025-00035-1 |
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| _version_ | 1849312209278074880 |
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| author | Lucas S. Flores Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes Chadi M. Saad-Roy Arne Traulsen |
| author_facet | Lucas S. Flores Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes Chadi M. Saad-Roy Arne Traulsen |
| author_sort | Lucas S. Flores |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Social dilemmas, where the collective interest is at odds with those of individuals, were widely discussed in the context of mitigating the spread of COVID-19. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as reducing personal contact or wearing masks to protect others were often viewed as static social dilemmas. In the context of respiratory diseases, which predominantly spread during winter, these dilemmas can reoccur seasonally. We extend a game-theoretic model for individual NPI adherence coupled to an epidemiological model by introducing a seasonal transmission rate. Adherence to an NPI may be a transient social dilemma, depending on season and the associated infections in the population. Decisions to follow NPIs in a seasonal context can change infection peaks in the population. Our work highlights a complex interdependence between behavior and seasonal disease, which has implications for epidemiology, but also for the field of social dilemmas, which have been mostly viewed as static so far. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d7c2ec52ab284bc68eefb9ff06434f9f |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2731-8753 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | npj Complexity |
| spelling | doaj-art-d7c2ec52ab284bc68eefb9ff06434f9f2025-08-20T03:53:08ZengNature Portfolionpj Complexity2731-87532025-05-01211710.1038/s44260-025-00035-1Seasonal social dilemmasLucas S. Flores0Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes1Chadi M. Saad-Roy2Arne Traulsen3Instituto de Física, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do SulDepartment of Theoretical Biology, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary BiologyMiller Institute for Basic Research in Science, University of CaliforniaDepartment of Theoretical Biology, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary BiologyAbstract Social dilemmas, where the collective interest is at odds with those of individuals, were widely discussed in the context of mitigating the spread of COVID-19. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as reducing personal contact or wearing masks to protect others were often viewed as static social dilemmas. In the context of respiratory diseases, which predominantly spread during winter, these dilemmas can reoccur seasonally. We extend a game-theoretic model for individual NPI adherence coupled to an epidemiological model by introducing a seasonal transmission rate. Adherence to an NPI may be a transient social dilemma, depending on season and the associated infections in the population. Decisions to follow NPIs in a seasonal context can change infection peaks in the population. Our work highlights a complex interdependence between behavior and seasonal disease, which has implications for epidemiology, but also for the field of social dilemmas, which have been mostly viewed as static so far.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44260-025-00035-1 |
| spellingShingle | Lucas S. Flores Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes Chadi M. Saad-Roy Arne Traulsen Seasonal social dilemmas npj Complexity |
| title | Seasonal social dilemmas |
| title_full | Seasonal social dilemmas |
| title_fullStr | Seasonal social dilemmas |
| title_full_unstemmed | Seasonal social dilemmas |
| title_short | Seasonal social dilemmas |
| title_sort | seasonal social dilemmas |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s44260-025-00035-1 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lucassflores seasonalsocialdilemmas AT amandadeazevedolopes seasonalsocialdilemmas AT chadimsaadroy seasonalsocialdilemmas AT arnetraulsen seasonalsocialdilemmas |