More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling

Abstract This research performs an ex-ante assessment of the 19 high potential areas for offshore wind energy (HPA-OWE) allocated in four maritime spatial planning subdivisions of Spain. A 39 geo-statistical criteria pool was developed and categorized into five planning tiers (coexistence, socio-eco...

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Main Authors: Daniel Depellegrin, Maurizio Ambrosino, Sanjoy Roy, Javier Sanabria, Carolina Martí Llambrich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:npj Ocean Sustainability
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44183-024-00080-8
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author Daniel Depellegrin
Maurizio Ambrosino
Sanjoy Roy
Javier Sanabria
Carolina Martí Llambrich
author_facet Daniel Depellegrin
Maurizio Ambrosino
Sanjoy Roy
Javier Sanabria
Carolina Martí Llambrich
author_sort Daniel Depellegrin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This research performs an ex-ante assessment of the 19 high potential areas for offshore wind energy (HPA-OWE) allocated in four maritime spatial planning subdivisions of Spain. A 39 geo-statistical criteria pool was developed and categorized into five planning tiers (coexistence, socio-ecological, spatial-efficiency, energy-equity, technical/technological). An ensemble of three multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques coupled with a Monte Carlo method based on a large, uniform number of randomly distributed criteria weights is applied for more robust priority rankings of HPA-OWE. The co-existence tier indicates that HPA-OWE should be prioritized in the North Atlantic and in the Levantine–Balearic planning subdivision. The application of machine learning on the MCDA results identified criteria that most influence the rank of each HPA-OWE at planning subdivision. The outcomes highlight the need to include place-based data to better take into account spatial inequalities in coastal regions and re-balance them with socio-economic and energetically privileged coastal territories.
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series npj Ocean Sustainability
spelling doaj-art-d7a9c3d1fe524e618ea5480d8546ed362025-08-20T02:20:45ZengNature Portfolionpj Ocean Sustainability2731-426X2024-12-013111610.1038/s44183-024-00080-8More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensemblingDaniel Depellegrin0Maurizio Ambrosino1Sanjoy Roy2Javier Sanabria3Carolina Martí Llambrich4Landscape Analysis and Management Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of GironaDepartment of Science and Technology, University of SannioLandscape Analysis and Management Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of GironaResearch Group on Integrated Coastal Zone Management, Sustainable Social Development Research Institute (INDESS), University of CádizLandscape Analysis and Management Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of GironaAbstract This research performs an ex-ante assessment of the 19 high potential areas for offshore wind energy (HPA-OWE) allocated in four maritime spatial planning subdivisions of Spain. A 39 geo-statistical criteria pool was developed and categorized into five planning tiers (coexistence, socio-ecological, spatial-efficiency, energy-equity, technical/technological). An ensemble of three multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques coupled with a Monte Carlo method based on a large, uniform number of randomly distributed criteria weights is applied for more robust priority rankings of HPA-OWE. The co-existence tier indicates that HPA-OWE should be prioritized in the North Atlantic and in the Levantine–Balearic planning subdivision. The application of machine learning on the MCDA results identified criteria that most influence the rank of each HPA-OWE at planning subdivision. The outcomes highlight the need to include place-based data to better take into account spatial inequalities in coastal regions and re-balance them with socio-economic and energetically privileged coastal territories.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44183-024-00080-8
spellingShingle Daniel Depellegrin
Maurizio Ambrosino
Sanjoy Roy
Javier Sanabria
Carolina Martí Llambrich
More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
npj Ocean Sustainability
title More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
title_full More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
title_fullStr More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
title_full_unstemmed More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
title_short More robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
title_sort more robust offshore wind energy planning through model ensembling
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44183-024-00080-8
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