Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia

Background. Yakutia lies within a risky farming region, where both low temperatures and insufficient moisture are the limiting factors. Oat is the main cereal fodder crop in Yakutia. Climate warming observed in recent decades has been affecting oat cultivation in different climatic areas of Yakutia....

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Main Authors: L. V. Petrova, L. Yu. Novikova, A. V. Alekseeva, I. G. Loskutov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: N.I. Vavilov All-Russian Institute of Plant Genetic Resources 2024-05-01
Series:Труды по прикладной ботанике, генетике и селекции
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Online Access:https://elpub.vir.nw.ru/jour/article/view/1867
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author L. V. Petrova
L. Yu. Novikova
A. V. Alekseeva
I. G. Loskutov
author_facet L. V. Petrova
L. Yu. Novikova
A. V. Alekseeva
I. G. Loskutov
author_sort L. V. Petrova
collection DOAJ
description Background. Yakutia lies within a risky farming region, where both low temperatures and insufficient moisture are the limiting factors. Oat is the main cereal fodder crop in Yakutia. Climate warming observed in recent decades has been affecting oat cultivation in different climatic areas of Yakutia. The objective of the study was to analyze weather and climate factors affecting oat yield in the republic during the past decade.Materials and methods. The study covered the data of 2014–2021 on the yield of zoned oat cultivars in three Yakutian variety trial sites located in the Central, Transfluvial and Middle Lena agroclimatic zones, and agronomic characteristics of three oat cultivars in the Central zone in 1999–2021. Variance, correlation, and regression analyses were applied.Results and conclusion. The study showed that in 2014–2021 there was a decrease in oat yields in Yakutia. The correlation analysis showed that this was due to climate changes: active warming, and a tendency towards a decrease in precipitation during the oat growing season. The regression analysis of the oat crop structure in the Central Zone in 1999–2021 confirmed that all yield components depended on the moisture availability, and it was the decrease in precipitation that led to a reduction in such indicators as 1000 grain weight, plant height, panicle length, and yield. A significant dependence on humidification conditions indicates the need to continue breeding work towards the development of drought-resistant oat cultivars adapted to the specific agroclimatic environments of Yakutia.
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spelling doaj-art-d7a03767431a4299988803da346931502025-02-03T08:31:16ZengN.I. Vavilov All-Russian Institute of Plant Genetic ResourcesТруды по прикладной ботанике, генетике и селекции2227-88342619-09822024-05-011851869810.30901/2227-8834-2024-1-86-98774Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in YakutiaL. V. Petrova0L. Yu. Novikova1A. V. Alekseeva2I. G. Loskutov3Yakut Scientific Center of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, M.G. Safronov Yakut Scientific Research Institute of AgricultureN.I. Vavilov All-Russian Institute of Plant Genetic ResourcesAgriculture Service of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)N.I. Vavilov All-Russian Institute of Plant Genetic ResourcesBackground. Yakutia lies within a risky farming region, where both low temperatures and insufficient moisture are the limiting factors. Oat is the main cereal fodder crop in Yakutia. Climate warming observed in recent decades has been affecting oat cultivation in different climatic areas of Yakutia. The objective of the study was to analyze weather and climate factors affecting oat yield in the republic during the past decade.Materials and methods. The study covered the data of 2014–2021 on the yield of zoned oat cultivars in three Yakutian variety trial sites located in the Central, Transfluvial and Middle Lena agroclimatic zones, and agronomic characteristics of three oat cultivars in the Central zone in 1999–2021. Variance, correlation, and regression analyses were applied.Results and conclusion. The study showed that in 2014–2021 there was a decrease in oat yields in Yakutia. The correlation analysis showed that this was due to climate changes: active warming, and a tendency towards a decrease in precipitation during the oat growing season. The regression analysis of the oat crop structure in the Central Zone in 1999–2021 confirmed that all yield components depended on the moisture availability, and it was the decrease in precipitation that led to a reduction in such indicators as 1000 grain weight, plant height, panicle length, and yield. A significant dependence on humidification conditions indicates the need to continue breeding work towards the development of drought-resistant oat cultivars adapted to the specific agroclimatic environments of Yakutia.https://elpub.vir.nw.ru/jour/article/view/1867oat cultivarsyakutiaagroclimatic zoneswarmingprecipitation decreaseyield structureregression models
spellingShingle L. V. Petrova
L. Yu. Novikova
A. V. Alekseeva
I. G. Loskutov
Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia
Труды по прикладной ботанике, генетике и селекции
oat cultivars
yakutia
agroclimatic zones
warming
precipitation decrease
yield structure
regression models
title Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia
title_full Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia
title_fullStr Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia
title_full_unstemmed Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia
title_short Climate change and crop yield of oats (Avena sativa L.) in Yakutia
title_sort climate change and crop yield of oats avena sativa l in yakutia
topic oat cultivars
yakutia
agroclimatic zones
warming
precipitation decrease
yield structure
regression models
url https://elpub.vir.nw.ru/jour/article/view/1867
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AT lyunovikova climatechangeandcropyieldofoatsavenasativalinyakutia
AT avalekseeva climatechangeandcropyieldofoatsavenasativalinyakutia
AT igloskutov climatechangeandcropyieldofoatsavenasativalinyakutia