Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data

Load forecasting is critical for management and security of smart grid system. Traditional methods are usually on the basis of historical power consumption data, and the popularization of multi-meter integration technology makes analysis of integrated energy consumption data more efficient. Towards...

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Main Authors: Xingang WANG, Binruo ZHU, Zhen GU
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: State Grid Energy Research Institute 2021-10-01
Series:Zhongguo dianli
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202103108
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author Xingang WANG
Binruo ZHU
Zhen GU
author_facet Xingang WANG
Binruo ZHU
Zhen GU
author_sort Xingang WANG
collection DOAJ
description Load forecasting is critical for management and security of smart grid system. Traditional methods are usually on the basis of historical power consumption data, and the popularization of multi-meter integration technology makes analysis of integrated energy consumption data more efficient. Towards the issue of load forecasting, with water/power/gas consumption data collected by integrated smart meter as features, two mid-and-long term power consumption forecasting methods are proposed: gaussian process regression (GPR) and relevance vector regression (RVR). Experimental results show the superiority of the proposed method and the significance of integrated energy consumption data for load forecasting problem.
format Article
id doaj-art-d79a7c4abe1845f787c38759fa1d3d27
institution DOAJ
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publishDate 2021-10-01
publisher State Grid Energy Research Institute
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series Zhongguo dianli
spelling doaj-art-d79a7c4abe1845f787c38759fa1d3d272025-08-20T02:53:03ZzhoState Grid Energy Research InstituteZhongguo dianli1004-96492021-10-01541021121610.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202103108wangxingangMid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption DataXingang WANG0Binruo ZHU1Zhen GU2Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Shanghai Electric Power Company, Shanghai 200051, ChinaElectric Power Research Institute of State Grid Shanghai Electric Power Company, Shanghai 200051, ChinaElectric Power Research Institute of State Grid Shanghai Electric Power Company, Shanghai 200051, ChinaLoad forecasting is critical for management and security of smart grid system. Traditional methods are usually on the basis of historical power consumption data, and the popularization of multi-meter integration technology makes analysis of integrated energy consumption data more efficient. Towards the issue of load forecasting, with water/power/gas consumption data collected by integrated smart meter as features, two mid-and-long term power consumption forecasting methods are proposed: gaussian process regression (GPR) and relevance vector regression (RVR). Experimental results show the superiority of the proposed method and the significance of integrated energy consumption data for load forecasting problem.https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202103108power consumption forecastingmulti-meter integrationprobabilistic modeltime series
spellingShingle Xingang WANG
Binruo ZHU
Zhen GU
Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data
Zhongguo dianli
power consumption forecasting
multi-meter integration
probabilistic model
time series
title Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data
title_full Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data
title_fullStr Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data
title_full_unstemmed Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data
title_short Mid-and-Long Term Load Forecasting Based on Integrated Power Consumption Data
title_sort mid and long term load forecasting based on integrated power consumption data
topic power consumption forecasting
multi-meter integration
probabilistic model
time series
url https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202103108
work_keys_str_mv AT xingangwang midandlongtermloadforecastingbasedonintegratedpowerconsumptiondata
AT binruozhu midandlongtermloadforecastingbasedonintegratedpowerconsumptiondata
AT zhengu midandlongtermloadforecastingbasedonintegratedpowerconsumptiondata