Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses

As crypto assets become more widely adopted, crypto asset markets and traditional financial markets may become increasingly interconnected. The close linkages between these markets have potentially important implications for price formation, contagion, risk management and regulatory frameworks. In t...

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Main Authors: Eleni Koutrouli, Polychronis Manousopoulos, John Theal, Laura Tresso
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:AppliedMath
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-9909/5/2/36
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author Eleni Koutrouli
Polychronis Manousopoulos
John Theal
Laura Tresso
author_facet Eleni Koutrouli
Polychronis Manousopoulos
John Theal
Laura Tresso
author_sort Eleni Koutrouli
collection DOAJ
description As crypto assets become more widely adopted, crypto asset markets and traditional financial markets may become increasingly interconnected. The close linkages between these markets have potentially important implications for price formation, contagion, risk management and regulatory frameworks. In this study, we assess the correlation between traditional financial markets and selected crypto assets, study factors that may impact the price of crypto assets and identify potentially significant events that may have an impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum price dynamics. For the latter analyses, we adopt a Bayesian model averaging approach to identify change points in the Bitcoin and Ethereum daily price time series. We then use the dates and probabilities of these change points to link them to specific events, finding that nearly all of the change points can be associated with known historical crypto asset-related events. The events can be classified into broader geopolitical developments, regulatory announcements and idiosyncratic events specific to either Bitcoin or Ethereum.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2673-9909
language English
publishDate 2025-04-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series AppliedMath
spelling doaj-art-d76dd74b996942fc9efa3e415aece9782025-08-20T03:32:28ZengMDPI AGAppliedMath2673-99092025-04-01523610.3390/appliedmath5020036Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and AnalysesEleni Koutrouli0Polychronis Manousopoulos1John Theal2Laura Tresso3Bank of Greece, 10250 Athens, GreeceBank of Greece, 10250 Athens, GreeceBanque Centrale du Luxembourg, 2983 Luxembourg, LuxembourgEuropean Central Bank, 60314 Frankfurt am Main, GermanyAs crypto assets become more widely adopted, crypto asset markets and traditional financial markets may become increasingly interconnected. The close linkages between these markets have potentially important implications for price formation, contagion, risk management and regulatory frameworks. In this study, we assess the correlation between traditional financial markets and selected crypto assets, study factors that may impact the price of crypto assets and identify potentially significant events that may have an impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum price dynamics. For the latter analyses, we adopt a Bayesian model averaging approach to identify change points in the Bitcoin and Ethereum daily price time series. We then use the dates and probabilities of these change points to link them to specific events, finding that nearly all of the change points can be associated with known historical crypto asset-related events. The events can be classified into broader geopolitical developments, regulatory announcements and idiosyncratic events specific to either Bitcoin or Ethereum.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-9909/5/2/36financial marketscrypto assetsBayesian model averagingcorrelationdynamic conditional correlation
spellingShingle Eleni Koutrouli
Polychronis Manousopoulos
John Theal
Laura Tresso
Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses
AppliedMath
financial markets
crypto assets
Bayesian model averaging
correlation
dynamic conditional correlation
title Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses
title_full Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses
title_fullStr Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses
title_full_unstemmed Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses
title_short Crypto Asset Markets vs. Financial Markets: Event Identification, Latest Insights and Analyses
title_sort crypto asset markets vs financial markets event identification latest insights and analyses
topic financial markets
crypto assets
Bayesian model averaging
correlation
dynamic conditional correlation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-9909/5/2/36
work_keys_str_mv AT elenikoutrouli cryptoassetmarketsvsfinancialmarketseventidentificationlatestinsightsandanalyses
AT polychronismanousopoulos cryptoassetmarketsvsfinancialmarketseventidentificationlatestinsightsandanalyses
AT johntheal cryptoassetmarketsvsfinancialmarketseventidentificationlatestinsightsandanalyses
AT lauratresso cryptoassetmarketsvsfinancialmarketseventidentificationlatestinsightsandanalyses