Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology

Abstract While psychologists have extensively discussed the notion of a “theory crisis” arising from vague and incorrect hypotheses, there has been no debate about such a crisis in biology. However, biologists have long discussed communication failures between theoreticians and empiricists. We argue...

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Main Authors: Shinichi Nakagawa, David W. Armitage, Tom Froese, Yefeng Yang, Malgorzata Lagisz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-02-01
Series:BMC Biology
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12915-025-02134-w
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author Shinichi Nakagawa
David W. Armitage
Tom Froese
Yefeng Yang
Malgorzata Lagisz
author_facet Shinichi Nakagawa
David W. Armitage
Tom Froese
Yefeng Yang
Malgorzata Lagisz
author_sort Shinichi Nakagawa
collection DOAJ
description Abstract While psychologists have extensively discussed the notion of a “theory crisis” arising from vague and incorrect hypotheses, there has been no debate about such a crisis in biology. However, biologists have long discussed communication failures between theoreticians and empiricists. We argue such failure is one aspect of a theory crisis because misapplied and misunderstood theories lead to poor hypotheses and research waste. We review its solutions and compare them with methodology-focused solutions proposed for replication crises. We conclude by discussing how promoting inclusion, diversity, equity, and accessibility (IDEA) in theoretical biology could contribute to ameliorating breakdowns in the theory-empirical cycle.
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spelling doaj-art-d6ca6a4d5e604d6d96208b38adc94f8c2025-02-09T12:54:21ZengBMCBMC Biology1741-70072025-02-0123111310.1186/s12915-025-02134-wPoor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychologyShinichi Nakagawa0David W. Armitage1Tom Froese2Yefeng Yang3Malgorzata Lagisz4Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, CW 405, Biological Sciences BuildingIntegrative Community Ecology Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST)Embodied Cognitive Science Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST)Evolution & Ecology Centre and School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South WalesTheoretical Sciences Visiting Program (TSVP), Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate UniversityAbstract While psychologists have extensively discussed the notion of a “theory crisis” arising from vague and incorrect hypotheses, there has been no debate about such a crisis in biology. However, biologists have long discussed communication failures between theoreticians and empiricists. We argue such failure is one aspect of a theory crisis because misapplied and misunderstood theories lead to poor hypotheses and research waste. We review its solutions and compare them with methodology-focused solutions proposed for replication crises. We conclude by discussing how promoting inclusion, diversity, equity, and accessibility (IDEA) in theoretical biology could contribute to ameliorating breakdowns in the theory-empirical cycle.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12915-025-02134-wQuestionable research practiceReplication crisisCredibility revolutionTeam scienceSORTEE
spellingShingle Shinichi Nakagawa
David W. Armitage
Tom Froese
Yefeng Yang
Malgorzata Lagisz
Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology
BMC Biology
Questionable research practice
Replication crisis
Credibility revolution
Team science
SORTEE
title Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology
title_full Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology
title_fullStr Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology
title_full_unstemmed Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology
title_short Poor hypotheses and research waste in biology: learning from a theory crisis in psychology
title_sort poor hypotheses and research waste in biology learning from a theory crisis in psychology
topic Questionable research practice
Replication crisis
Credibility revolution
Team science
SORTEE
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12915-025-02134-w
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