Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights

Abstract Atherosclerotic diseases are systemic, and stroke patients often present with both intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS) and coronary artery stenosis (COAS). This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of ICAS and COAS among ischemic stroke patients across different risk strata and to cons...

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Main Authors: Gege Zhang, Sijie Dong, Fanfan Feng, Weihao Kan, Taozhen Shi, Hongmei Ding, Ruiguo Dong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-02-01
Series:BMC Neurology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-025-04024-8
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author Gege Zhang
Sijie Dong
Fanfan Feng
Weihao Kan
Taozhen Shi
Hongmei Ding
Ruiguo Dong
author_facet Gege Zhang
Sijie Dong
Fanfan Feng
Weihao Kan
Taozhen Shi
Hongmei Ding
Ruiguo Dong
author_sort Gege Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Atherosclerotic diseases are systemic, and stroke patients often present with both intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS) and coronary artery stenosis (COAS). This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of ICAS and COAS among ischemic stroke patients across different risk strata and to construct a predictive model for assessing atherosclerosis risk. This retrospective study included patients admitted for ischemic stroke at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from December 2020 to December 2021. All patients underwent CTA, with significant stenosis defined as exceeding 50% for both cerebral and coronary arteries.Patients were categorized into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups on the basis of the Framingham risk scale. A total of 5,816 patients were included, with a mean age of 66.54 years. Dual arterial stenosis was found in 2,258 patients (38.8%), single ICAS in 399 (6.8%), and single COAS in 3,159 (54.3%). The moderate- and high-risk groups had significantly lower risks of single ICAS and COAS. Comparing the differences in risk factors between single arterial stenosis and dual arterial stenosis, the key risk factors included hyperlipidemia, smoking, hypertension, and diabetes, with a model accuracy of 73.61% and an AUC values of 0.8562 for dual stenosis. Significant differences in age, sex, and the risk factors were observed among risk groups. The predictive model demonstrated high accuracy, highlighting the importance of personalized medicine in clinical decision-making.
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spelling doaj-art-d6a3f3eb49d74e09b9c9f298a3152a842025-02-09T12:43:10ZengBMCBMC Neurology1471-23772025-02-0125111510.1186/s12883-025-04024-8Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insightsGege Zhang0Sijie Dong1Fanfan Feng2Weihao Kan3Taozhen Shi4Hongmei Ding5Ruiguo Dong6Xuzhou Medical UniversityXuzhou Medical UniversityLianyungang First People’s HospitalXuzhou Mining Group General HospitalXuzhou Medical UniversityHospital of Xuzhou Medical UniversityHospital of Xuzhou Medical UniversityAbstract Atherosclerotic diseases are systemic, and stroke patients often present with both intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS) and coronary artery stenosis (COAS). This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of ICAS and COAS among ischemic stroke patients across different risk strata and to construct a predictive model for assessing atherosclerosis risk. This retrospective study included patients admitted for ischemic stroke at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from December 2020 to December 2021. All patients underwent CTA, with significant stenosis defined as exceeding 50% for both cerebral and coronary arteries.Patients were categorized into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups on the basis of the Framingham risk scale. A total of 5,816 patients were included, with a mean age of 66.54 years. Dual arterial stenosis was found in 2,258 patients (38.8%), single ICAS in 399 (6.8%), and single COAS in 3,159 (54.3%). The moderate- and high-risk groups had significantly lower risks of single ICAS and COAS. Comparing the differences in risk factors between single arterial stenosis and dual arterial stenosis, the key risk factors included hyperlipidemia, smoking, hypertension, and diabetes, with a model accuracy of 73.61% and an AUC values of 0.8562 for dual stenosis. Significant differences in age, sex, and the risk factors were observed among risk groups. The predictive model demonstrated high accuracy, highlighting the importance of personalized medicine in clinical decision-making.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-025-04024-8AtherosclerosisIntracranial artery stenosisCoronary artery stenosisFramingham Stroke ScaleRisk factor stratificationDual artery stenosis
spellingShingle Gege Zhang
Sijie Dong
Fanfan Feng
Weihao Kan
Taozhen Shi
Hongmei Ding
Ruiguo Dong
Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
BMC Neurology
Atherosclerosis
Intracranial artery stenosis
Coronary artery stenosis
Framingham Stroke Scale
Risk factor stratification
Dual artery stenosis
title Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
title_full Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
title_fullStr Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
title_full_unstemmed Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
title_short Identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio-cerebral arterial stenosis: a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
title_sort identification of specific risk factors and predictive analytics for cardio cerebral arterial stenosis a comparative study utilizing framingham risk stratification insights
topic Atherosclerosis
Intracranial artery stenosis
Coronary artery stenosis
Framingham Stroke Scale
Risk factor stratification
Dual artery stenosis
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-025-04024-8
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