Quantification of the Flood Discharge Following the 2023 Kakhovka Dam Breach Using Satellite Remote Sensing

Abstract Fourteen months post the Ukrainian‐Russian war outbreak, the Kakhovka Dam collapsed, leading to weeks of catastrophic flooding. Yet, scant details exist regarding the reservoir draining process. By using a new technique for processing gravimetric satellite orbital observations, this study s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shuang Yi, Hao‐si Li, Shin‐Chan Han, Nico Sneeuw, Chunyu Yuan, Chunqiao Song, In‐Young Yeo, Christopher M. McCullough
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-03-01
Series:Water Resources Research
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR038314
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Summary:Abstract Fourteen months post the Ukrainian‐Russian war outbreak, the Kakhovka Dam collapsed, leading to weeks of catastrophic flooding. Yet, scant details exist regarding the reservoir draining process. By using a new technique for processing gravimetric satellite orbital observations, this study succeeded in recovering continuous changes in reservoir mass with a temporal resolution of 2–5 days. By integrating these variations with satellite imagery and altimetry data into a hydrodynamic model, we derived the effective width and length of the breach and the subsequent 30‐day evolution of the reservoir discharge. Our model reveals that the initial volumetric flow rate is (5.7±0.8)×104 m3/s, approximately 28 times the average flow of the Dnipro River. After 30 days, the water level in the reservoir had dropped by 12.6±1.1 m and its water volume was almost completely depleted by 20.4±1.4 km3. In addition, this event provides a rare opportunity to examine the discharge coefficient—a key modeling parameter—of giant reservoirs, which we find to be 0.8–1.0, significantly larger than the ∼0.6 value previously measured in the laboratory, indicating that this parameter may be related to the reservoir scale. This study demonstrates a paradigm of utilizing multiple remote sensing techniques to address observational challenges posed by extreme hydrological events.
ISSN:0043-1397
1944-7973