Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye

The aim of this article is to examine effects of wealth, personal income distribution, and households’ and firms’ debt stock on aggregate demand and its components in Türkiye and characterize its demand regime. For this purpose, we examined the Turkish economy over the 1988-2019 period within a post...

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Main Author: Ozan Ekin Kurt
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2022-12-01
Series:İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/569A4E9C979B464697B918E0281F665E
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author Ozan Ekin Kurt
author_facet Ozan Ekin Kurt
author_sort Ozan Ekin Kurt
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this article is to examine effects of wealth, personal income distribution, and households’ and firms’ debt stock on aggregate demand and its components in Türkiye and characterize its demand regime. For this purpose, we examined the Turkish economy over the 1988-2019 period within a post-Keynesian framework. Our findings suggested that the proxy variable for wealth has a small but positive effect on consumption, but no effect on investment. We observed that of four personal income distribution indicators employed in econometric investigations, only one of them had some minor effect on consumption but none of them had any significant effect on investment. Household debt, probably due to mortgages, turned out to have a positive effect on total investment expenditures, which also consists of newly constructed residences, but no effect on consumption expenditures. Our econometric estimations also pointed out that business debt has a negative effect on investment. The synthesis of findings suggested that the demand regime is profit-led in Türkiye. However, calculation of growth contributions of variables indicate that functional income distribution has a minor role, but wealth and debt variables have a major role in determination of aggregate demand.
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spelling doaj-art-d6487285b2fc4b8ca724af46c2fc95762025-08-20T03:09:31ZengIstanbul University Pressİstanbul İktisat Dergisi2602-39542022-12-0172250354110.26650/ISTJECON2021-1176155123456Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on TurkiyeOzan Ekin Kurt0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4943-5681Yeditepe Üniversitesi, Istanbul, TurkiyeThe aim of this article is to examine effects of wealth, personal income distribution, and households’ and firms’ debt stock on aggregate demand and its components in Türkiye and characterize its demand regime. For this purpose, we examined the Turkish economy over the 1988-2019 period within a post-Keynesian framework. Our findings suggested that the proxy variable for wealth has a small but positive effect on consumption, but no effect on investment. We observed that of four personal income distribution indicators employed in econometric investigations, only one of them had some minor effect on consumption but none of them had any significant effect on investment. Household debt, probably due to mortgages, turned out to have a positive effect on total investment expenditures, which also consists of newly constructed residences, but no effect on consumption expenditures. Our econometric estimations also pointed out that business debt has a negative effect on investment. The synthesis of findings suggested that the demand regime is profit-led in Türkiye. However, calculation of growth contributions of variables indicate that functional income distribution has a minor role, but wealth and debt variables have a major role in determination of aggregate demand.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/569A4E9C979B464697B918E0281F665Epost-keynesian economicsincome distributiondebtsaggregate demand
spellingShingle Ozan Ekin Kurt
Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye
İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
post-keynesian economics
income distribution
debts
aggregate demand
title Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye
title_full Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye
title_fullStr Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye
title_full_unstemmed Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye
title_short Debt, Wealth, Income Distribution and Demand: A post-Keynesian Empirical Study on Turkiye
title_sort debt wealth income distribution and demand a post keynesian empirical study on turkiye
topic post-keynesian economics
income distribution
debts
aggregate demand
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/569A4E9C979B464697B918E0281F665E
work_keys_str_mv AT ozanekinkurt debtwealthincomedistributionanddemandapostkeynesianempiricalstudyonturkiye