Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity

In real-world problems, environmental noise is often idealized as Gaussian white noise, despite potential temporal dependencies. The linear inverse model (LIM) is a class of data-driven methods that extract dynamic and stochastic information from finite time-series data of complex systems. In this s...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Justin Lien, Yan-Ning Kuo, Hiroyasu Ando, Shoichiro Kido
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Physical Society 2025-04-01
Series:Physical Review Research
Online Access:http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.7.023042
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849712263555973120
author Justin Lien
Yan-Ning Kuo
Hiroyasu Ando
Shoichiro Kido
author_facet Justin Lien
Yan-Ning Kuo
Hiroyasu Ando
Shoichiro Kido
author_sort Justin Lien
collection DOAJ
description In real-world problems, environmental noise is often idealized as Gaussian white noise, despite potential temporal dependencies. The linear inverse model (LIM) is a class of data-driven methods that extract dynamic and stochastic information from finite time-series data of complex systems. In this study, we introduce a new variant of LIM, called colored LIM, which models stochasticity using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise. Despite the nontrivial correlation between observable and colored noise, we show that colored LIM unveils the desired information merely from the correlation function of the observable. Therefore, this approach not only accounts for the memory effects of environmental noise, traditionally represented by time-uncorrelated white noise in the classical-LIM framework, but does so using the same observational dataset without requiring additional data. Furthermore, we show that colored LIM does not reduce to classical LIM in the white noise limit, underscoring the importance of temporal dependencies in stochastic systems. In this paper, we rigorously develop the colored LIM, explore its connections with the classical LIM, dynamic mode decomposition, and vector autoregressive moving average models, and validate its effectiveness on both ideal linear and nonlinear systems. In addition, we illustrate the potential applications and implications of colored LIM for real-world problems, including the El Niño–southern oscillation and the electricity network of Tohoku University.
format Article
id doaj-art-d62c0fb7937e4a5b85372f7e5ed05367
institution DOAJ
issn 2643-1564
language English
publishDate 2025-04-01
publisher American Physical Society
record_format Article
series Physical Review Research
spelling doaj-art-d62c0fb7937e4a5b85372f7e5ed053672025-08-20T03:14:20ZengAmerican Physical SocietyPhysical Review Research2643-15642025-04-017202304210.1103/PhysRevResearch.7.023042Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticityJustin LienYan-Ning KuoHiroyasu AndoShoichiro KidoIn real-world problems, environmental noise is often idealized as Gaussian white noise, despite potential temporal dependencies. The linear inverse model (LIM) is a class of data-driven methods that extract dynamic and stochastic information from finite time-series data of complex systems. In this study, we introduce a new variant of LIM, called colored LIM, which models stochasticity using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise. Despite the nontrivial correlation between observable and colored noise, we show that colored LIM unveils the desired information merely from the correlation function of the observable. Therefore, this approach not only accounts for the memory effects of environmental noise, traditionally represented by time-uncorrelated white noise in the classical-LIM framework, but does so using the same observational dataset without requiring additional data. Furthermore, we show that colored LIM does not reduce to classical LIM in the white noise limit, underscoring the importance of temporal dependencies in stochastic systems. In this paper, we rigorously develop the colored LIM, explore its connections with the classical LIM, dynamic mode decomposition, and vector autoregressive moving average models, and validate its effectiveness on both ideal linear and nonlinear systems. In addition, we illustrate the potential applications and implications of colored LIM for real-world problems, including the El Niño–southern oscillation and the electricity network of Tohoku University.http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.7.023042
spellingShingle Justin Lien
Yan-Ning Kuo
Hiroyasu Ando
Shoichiro Kido
Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
Physical Review Research
title Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
title_full Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
title_fullStr Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
title_full_unstemmed Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
title_short Colored linear inverse model: A data-driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
title_sort colored linear inverse model a data driven method for studying dynamical systems with temporally correlated stochasticity
url http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.7.023042
work_keys_str_mv AT justinlien coloredlinearinversemodeladatadrivenmethodforstudyingdynamicalsystemswithtemporallycorrelatedstochasticity
AT yanningkuo coloredlinearinversemodeladatadrivenmethodforstudyingdynamicalsystemswithtemporallycorrelatedstochasticity
AT hiroyasuando coloredlinearinversemodeladatadrivenmethodforstudyingdynamicalsystemswithtemporallycorrelatedstochasticity
AT shoichirokido coloredlinearinversemodeladatadrivenmethodforstudyingdynamicalsystemswithtemporallycorrelatedstochasticity