PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm

Abstract Scientific researchers constitute the core strength of innovation within an organization, and their turnover can significantly affect the enterprise. This includes the risk of trade secret disclosure, setbacks in research and development, and stalled business progress. To address these issu...

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Main Authors: Tianyi Zhang, Jing Yang, Ru Liu, Qiyuan Feng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2025-05-01
Series:Discover Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-025-06970-x
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author Tianyi Zhang
Jing Yang
Ru Liu
Qiyuan Feng
author_facet Tianyi Zhang
Jing Yang
Ru Liu
Qiyuan Feng
author_sort Tianyi Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Scientific researchers constitute the core strength of innovation within an organization, and their turnover can significantly affect the enterprise. This includes the risk of trade secret disclosure, setbacks in research and development, and stalled business progress. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel prediction method named PAD-SA (Prediction of Academic Departure using ADASYN-Stacking Algorithm) by employing the ADASYN (Adaptive Synthetic) sampling algorithm in conjunction with the Stacking algorithm. PAD-SA can predict the probability of scientific researchers’ departure, thereby helping enterprises anticipate the turnover intentions of their research staff members. The dataset for this study comprises feature information collected from 1100 scientific researchers. The paper addresses the dataset imbalance issue by employing the adaptive oversampling algorithm of ADASYN, which effectively mitigates model prediction bias due to uneven sample distribution. In performance comparisons, PAD-SA outperformed the best model in the benchmark group, with its ROC value exceeding the average performance of the comparative models by 3.7%, 11.9%, and 9.3% respectively.
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institution OA Journals
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publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher Springer
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spelling doaj-art-d61270d0107d40df9599b7b6cf3b7d6a2025-08-20T01:49:48ZengSpringerDiscover Applied Sciences3004-92612025-05-017511210.1007/s42452-025-06970-xPAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithmTianyi Zhang0Jing Yang1Ru Liu2Qiyuan Feng3State Grid Lanzhou Electric Power Supply CompanyState Grid Gansu Electric Power CompanyState Grid Lanzhou Electric Power Supply CompanyState Grid Gansu Electric Power CompanyAbstract Scientific researchers constitute the core strength of innovation within an organization, and their turnover can significantly affect the enterprise. This includes the risk of trade secret disclosure, setbacks in research and development, and stalled business progress. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel prediction method named PAD-SA (Prediction of Academic Departure using ADASYN-Stacking Algorithm) by employing the ADASYN (Adaptive Synthetic) sampling algorithm in conjunction with the Stacking algorithm. PAD-SA can predict the probability of scientific researchers’ departure, thereby helping enterprises anticipate the turnover intentions of their research staff members. The dataset for this study comprises feature information collected from 1100 scientific researchers. The paper addresses the dataset imbalance issue by employing the adaptive oversampling algorithm of ADASYN, which effectively mitigates model prediction bias due to uneven sample distribution. In performance comparisons, PAD-SA outperformed the best model in the benchmark group, with its ROC value exceeding the average performance of the comparative models by 3.7%, 11.9%, and 9.3% respectively.https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-025-06970-xTurnover intentionMachine learningIntegrated learningPAD-SA
spellingShingle Tianyi Zhang
Jing Yang
Ru Liu
Qiyuan Feng
PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm
Discover Applied Sciences
Turnover intention
Machine learning
Integrated learning
PAD-SA
title PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm
title_full PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm
title_fullStr PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm
title_full_unstemmed PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm
title_short PAD-SA: a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on ADASYN-Stacking algorithm
title_sort pad sa a method for predicting the turnover of scientific researchers based on adasyn stacking algorithm
topic Turnover intention
Machine learning
Integrated learning
PAD-SA
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-025-06970-x
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AT jingyang padsaamethodforpredictingtheturnoverofscientificresearchersbasedonadasynstackingalgorithm
AT ruliu padsaamethodforpredictingtheturnoverofscientificresearchersbasedonadasynstackingalgorithm
AT qiyuanfeng padsaamethodforpredictingtheturnoverofscientificresearchersbasedonadasynstackingalgorithm