Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network

Forecasting of urban traffic flow is important to intelligent transportation system (ITS) developments and implementations. The precise forecasting of traffic flow will be pretty helpful to relax road traffic congestion. The accuracy of traditional single model without correction mechanism is poor....

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Main Authors: He Huang, Qifeng Tang, Zhen Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/195824
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author He Huang
Qifeng Tang
Zhen Liu
author_facet He Huang
Qifeng Tang
Zhen Liu
author_sort He Huang
collection DOAJ
description Forecasting of urban traffic flow is important to intelligent transportation system (ITS) developments and implementations. The precise forecasting of traffic flow will be pretty helpful to relax road traffic congestion. The accuracy of traditional single model without correction mechanism is poor. Summarizing the existing prediction models and considering the characteristics of the traffic itself, a traffic flow prediction model based on fuzzy c-mean clustering method (FCM) and advanced neural network (NN) was proposed. FCM can improve the prediction accuracy and robustness of the model, while advanced NN can optimize the generalization ability of the model. Besides these, the output value of the model is calibrated by the correction mechanism. The experimental results show that the proposed method has better prediction accuracy and robustness than the other models.
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institution OA Journals
issn 1110-757X
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publishDate 2013-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Applied Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-d5f875f0b71b411bbba8eba665808a692025-08-20T02:19:40ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422013-01-01201310.1155/2013/195824195824Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural NetworkHe Huang0Qifeng Tang1Zhen Liu2Shanghai Urban-Rural Construction and Transportation Development Institute, Shanghai 300032, ChinaDepartment of Automation, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Key Laboratory of System Control and Information Processing, Ministry of Education, Shanghai 200240, ChinaShanghai Urban-Rural Construction and Transportation Development Institute, Shanghai 300032, ChinaForecasting of urban traffic flow is important to intelligent transportation system (ITS) developments and implementations. The precise forecasting of traffic flow will be pretty helpful to relax road traffic congestion. The accuracy of traditional single model without correction mechanism is poor. Summarizing the existing prediction models and considering the characteristics of the traffic itself, a traffic flow prediction model based on fuzzy c-mean clustering method (FCM) and advanced neural network (NN) was proposed. FCM can improve the prediction accuracy and robustness of the model, while advanced NN can optimize the generalization ability of the model. Besides these, the output value of the model is calibrated by the correction mechanism. The experimental results show that the proposed method has better prediction accuracy and robustness than the other models.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/195824
spellingShingle He Huang
Qifeng Tang
Zhen Liu
Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network
title_full Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network
title_fullStr Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network
title_short Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzy c-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network
title_sort adaptive correction forecasting approach for urban traffic flow based on fuzzy c mean clustering and advanced neural network
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/195824
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AT qifengtang adaptivecorrectionforecastingapproachforurbantrafficflowbasedonfuzzycmeanclusteringandadvancedneuralnetwork
AT zhenliu adaptivecorrectionforecastingapproachforurbantrafficflowbasedonfuzzycmeanclusteringandadvancedneuralnetwork