Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics

Many natural population growths and interactions are affected byseasonal changes, suggesting that these natural population dynamicsshould be modeled by nonautonomous differential equations instead ofautonomous differential equations. Through a series of carefullyderived models of the well documented...

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Main Authors: Hao Wang, Yang Kuang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2006-10-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.85
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author Hao Wang
Yang Kuang
author_facet Hao Wang
Yang Kuang
author_sort Hao Wang
collection DOAJ
description Many natural population growths and interactions are affected byseasonal changes, suggesting that these natural population dynamicsshould be modeled by nonautonomous differential equations instead ofautonomous differential equations. Through a series of carefullyderived models of the well documented high-amplitude, large-periodfluctuations of lemming populations, we argue that whenappropriately formulated, autonomous differential equations maycapture much of the desirable rich dynamics, such as the existenceof a periodic solution with period and amplitude close to that ofapproximately periodic solutions produced by the more natural butmathematically daunting nonautonomous models. We start this seriesof models from the Barrow model, a well formulated model for thedynamics of food-lemming interaction at Point Barrow (Alaska, USA)with sufficient experimental data. Our work suggests that anautonomous system can indeed be a good approximation to themoss-lemming dynamics at Point Barrow. This, together with ourbifurcation analysis, indicates that neither seasonal factors(expressed by time-dependent moss growth rate and lemming death ratein the Barrow model) nor the moss growth rate and lemming death rateare the main culprits of the observed multi-year lemming cycles. Wesuspect that the main culprits may include high lemming predationrate, high lemming birth rate, and low lemming self-limitation rate.
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spelling doaj-art-d4b99b03ba2c47d8a995ab96d768998a2025-01-24T01:52:54ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182006-10-0141859910.3934/mbe.2007.4.85Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamicsHao Wang0Yang Kuang1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287Many natural population growths and interactions are affected byseasonal changes, suggesting that these natural population dynamicsshould be modeled by nonautonomous differential equations instead ofautonomous differential equations. Through a series of carefullyderived models of the well documented high-amplitude, large-periodfluctuations of lemming populations, we argue that whenappropriately formulated, autonomous differential equations maycapture much of the desirable rich dynamics, such as the existenceof a periodic solution with period and amplitude close to that ofapproximately periodic solutions produced by the more natural butmathematically daunting nonautonomous models. We start this seriesof models from the Barrow model, a well formulated model for thedynamics of food-lemming interaction at Point Barrow (Alaska, USA)with sufficient experimental data. Our work suggests that anautonomous system can indeed be a good approximation to themoss-lemming dynamics at Point Barrow. This, together with ourbifurcation analysis, indicates that neither seasonal factors(expressed by time-dependent moss growth rate and lemming death ratein the Barrow model) nor the moss growth rate and lemming death rateare the main culprits of the observed multi-year lemming cycles. Wesuspect that the main culprits may include high lemming predationrate, high lemming birth rate, and low lemming self-limitation rate.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.85functional responsepredator-prey modeloscillation.
spellingShingle Hao Wang
Yang Kuang
Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
functional response
predator-prey model
oscillation.
title Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
title_full Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
title_fullStr Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
title_short Alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
title_sort alternative models for cyclic lemming dynamics
topic functional response
predator-prey model
oscillation.
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.85
work_keys_str_mv AT haowang alternativemodelsforcycliclemmingdynamics
AT yangkuang alternativemodelsforcycliclemmingdynamics