Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China
Summary: Heatwaves, driven by climate change, have increasingly challenged energy systems with increased demand and reduced supply, leading to power outages. This study empirically examines the impact of heatwaves on power outages, employing fixed-effects models and using high-frequency outage data...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-02-01
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| Series: | iScience |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225001154 |
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| author | Jing Liang Yueming (Lucy) Qiu Bo Wang Xingchi Shen Shangwei Liu |
| author_facet | Jing Liang Yueming (Lucy) Qiu Bo Wang Xingchi Shen Shangwei Liu |
| author_sort | Jing Liang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Summary: Heatwaves, driven by climate change, have increasingly challenged energy systems with increased demand and reduced supply, leading to power outages. This study empirically examines the impact of heatwaves on power outages, employing fixed-effects models and using high-frequency outage data from China (2019–2021). The results indicate that heatwaves increase the frequency of outages by 3.9%–4.0% and extend their duration by 7.9%–8.3%. Additionally, each degree of temperature rise increases outages by 0.1%, and an additional heatwave day raises outages by 0.5%. We also observed heterogeneity in outage impacts across different socio-demographic groups. Furthermore, projections under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 show that outages will increase by 5.2%–12.5% in 2030 and 7.4%–20.3% in 2050. These findings underscore the urgency of grid upgrades and provide insights for resource allocation to adaptation to climate change. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d4b2fb698e6d45c7b22a5cc38dfcbd6e |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2589-0042 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-02-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | iScience |
| spelling | doaj-art-d4b2fb698e6d45c7b22a5cc38dfcbd6e2025-02-08T05:00:49ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422025-02-01282111855Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in ChinaJing Liang0Yueming (Lucy) Qiu1Bo Wang2Xingchi Shen3Shangwei Liu4School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China; Corresponding authorSchool of Public Policy, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, USA; Corresponding authorSchool of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, ChinaSchool of Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USASchool of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USASummary: Heatwaves, driven by climate change, have increasingly challenged energy systems with increased demand and reduced supply, leading to power outages. This study empirically examines the impact of heatwaves on power outages, employing fixed-effects models and using high-frequency outage data from China (2019–2021). The results indicate that heatwaves increase the frequency of outages by 3.9%–4.0% and extend their duration by 7.9%–8.3%. Additionally, each degree of temperature rise increases outages by 0.1%, and an additional heatwave day raises outages by 0.5%. We also observed heterogeneity in outage impacts across different socio-demographic groups. Furthermore, projections under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 show that outages will increase by 5.2%–12.5% in 2030 and 7.4%–20.3% in 2050. These findings underscore the urgency of grid upgrades and provide insights for resource allocation to adaptation to climate change.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225001154Global changeEnergy systemsEnergy Modelling |
| spellingShingle | Jing Liang Yueming (Lucy) Qiu Bo Wang Xingchi Shen Shangwei Liu Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China iScience Global change Energy systems Energy Modelling |
| title | Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China |
| title_full | Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China |
| title_fullStr | Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China |
| title_short | Impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability: Evidence from power outage data in China |
| title_sort | impacts of heatwaves on electricity reliability evidence from power outage data in china |
| topic | Global change Energy systems Energy Modelling |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225001154 |
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