Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)

In this study, the long-term suitability of the area proposals for winter recreation activities in the Seyhan Basin (Türkiye), which is located in the Mediterranean and Central Anatolia regions and includes a large part of the Taurus Mountains, were examined ecologically. For this purpose, the predi...

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Main Authors: Okan Yeler, Gazel Burcu Aydın, Belgin Çamur Elipek, Süha Berberoğlu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2022-10-01
Series:Aquatic Sciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/48921F4A526E453A90E260B8EEDC50D9
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author Okan Yeler
Gazel Burcu Aydın
Belgin Çamur Elipek
Süha Berberoğlu
author_facet Okan Yeler
Gazel Burcu Aydın
Belgin Çamur Elipek
Süha Berberoğlu
author_sort Okan Yeler
collection DOAJ
description In this study, the long-term suitability of the area proposals for winter recreation activities in the Seyhan Basin (Türkiye), which is located in the Mediterranean and Central Anatolia regions and includes a large part of the Taurus Mountains, were examined ecologically. For this purpose, the predicted global warming scenarios in the basin and the anthropogenic impacts arising from the planned recreation areas were evaluated for the upper basin (recreation areas) and lower basin (water resources, agricultural lands, and settlements) using a hypothetical risk analysis. For this purpose, multispectral images were obtained by using Landsat 8 Oli Multispectral images of the snow areas in the region in January-February-March 2019, and a hypothetical ecological risk analysis was created considering a total of 5 pressure factors originating from global climate change and anthropogenic effects. These possible factors were determined as flood (S1), drought (S2), sedimentation (S3), aquatic nutrients (S4), and tourist density (S5). The effects of these factors on a total of four features (C1: water quality, C2: fauna-flora, C3: agricultural areas, and C4: settlements) in the region were evaluated by hypothetical grading based on the literature. According to the hypothesis results obtained by the formula and statistical calculations, it was determined that the flood factor (S1) that will occur due to possible snow melt due to global climate change in the winter recreation areas in the studied region is the most significant factor limiting the sustainable usage of the Basin. For this reason, it has been emphasized in this study that the possibility of regions being exposed to the effects of climate change in the future should be taken into account, especially when planning for winter recreation areas. At the end of this study, it was concluded that the ecological balance analysis of basins is important, especially in terms of ensuring the long-term sustainable use of winter recreation areas.
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issn 2602-473X
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publishDate 2022-10-01
publisher Istanbul University Press
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series Aquatic Sciences and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-d4a387e13198441fa50e21734afcd9332025-08-20T02:28:33ZengIstanbul University PressAquatic Sciences and Engineering2602-473X2022-10-0137422923410.26650/ASE20221115945123456Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)Okan Yeler0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0405-4829Gazel Burcu Aydın1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9131-240XBelgin Çamur Elipek2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0954-8967Süha Berberoğlu3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1547-6680Van Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi, Van, TurkiyeTrakya Üniversitesi, Edirne, TurkiyeTrakya Üniversitesi, Edirne, TurkiyeÇukurova Üniversitesi, Adana, TurkiyeIn this study, the long-term suitability of the area proposals for winter recreation activities in the Seyhan Basin (Türkiye), which is located in the Mediterranean and Central Anatolia regions and includes a large part of the Taurus Mountains, were examined ecologically. For this purpose, the predicted global warming scenarios in the basin and the anthropogenic impacts arising from the planned recreation areas were evaluated for the upper basin (recreation areas) and lower basin (water resources, agricultural lands, and settlements) using a hypothetical risk analysis. For this purpose, multispectral images were obtained by using Landsat 8 Oli Multispectral images of the snow areas in the region in January-February-March 2019, and a hypothetical ecological risk analysis was created considering a total of 5 pressure factors originating from global climate change and anthropogenic effects. These possible factors were determined as flood (S1), drought (S2), sedimentation (S3), aquatic nutrients (S4), and tourist density (S5). The effects of these factors on a total of four features (C1: water quality, C2: fauna-flora, C3: agricultural areas, and C4: settlements) in the region were evaluated by hypothetical grading based on the literature. According to the hypothesis results obtained by the formula and statistical calculations, it was determined that the flood factor (S1) that will occur due to possible snow melt due to global climate change in the winter recreation areas in the studied region is the most significant factor limiting the sustainable usage of the Basin. For this reason, it has been emphasized in this study that the possibility of regions being exposed to the effects of climate change in the future should be taken into account, especially when planning for winter recreation areas. At the end of this study, it was concluded that the ecological balance analysis of basins is important, especially in terms of ensuring the long-term sustainable use of winter recreation areas.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/48921F4A526E453A90E260B8EEDC50D9climate changeecologyenvironmental parametershypothetical risksustainability
spellingShingle Okan Yeler
Gazel Burcu Aydın
Belgin Çamur Elipek
Süha Berberoğlu
Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)
Aquatic Sciences and Engineering
climate change
ecology
environmental parameters
hypothetical risk
sustainability
title Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)
title_full Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)
title_fullStr Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)
title_full_unstemmed Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)
title_short Application of Hypothetical Ecological Risk Analysis to Sustainable Usage of Possible Winter Recreation Areas in Seyhan Basin (Türkiye)
title_sort application of hypothetical ecological risk analysis to sustainable usage of possible winter recreation areas in seyhan basin turkiye
topic climate change
ecology
environmental parameters
hypothetical risk
sustainability
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/48921F4A526E453A90E260B8EEDC50D9
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