Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems

The basic principles and methods for a functional glacier systems model are introduced and applied for glaciers of Northwest China. When running the model we assume that a glacier system is under steady state conditions in the initial year. The median size of a glacier system is used as representati...

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Main Authors: Z. Xie, X. Wang, Q. Li, S. Liao, Y. Dai
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Nauka 2015-04-01
Series:Лëд и снег
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/127
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author Z. Xie
X. Wang
Q. Li
S. Liao
Y. Dai
author_facet Z. Xie
X. Wang
Q. Li
S. Liao
Y. Dai
author_sort Z. Xie
collection DOAJ
description The basic principles and methods for a functional glacier systems model are introduced and applied for glaciers of Northwest China. When running the model we assume that a glacier system is under steady state conditions in the initial year. The median size of a glacier system is used as representative for the system. The curve of glacier area distribution against elevation is used to compute the increase in equilibrium line altitude (ELA), and the annual glacier ablation is calculated using a global formula a = 1.33(9.66 + ts)².⁸⁵ [4, p. 96]. The net mass balance near the ELA under steady state conditions represents the net mass balance of the whole glacier system, and the time required for glacier runoff to return to the initial year level is calculated according to the law of glacier runoff variation, and used to calculate the variation of glacier area. The variation of glacier runoff is modeled according to ablation at the ELA, and the variation of glacier volume is modeled according to the absolute value of the mass balance. The observed changes in surveyed glaciers in China over recent decades were broadly consistent with predictions of the glacier system model. The model therefore offers a reliable method for the prediction of changes in glacier systems in response to changing climate.
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publishDate 2015-04-01
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series Лëд и снег
spelling doaj-art-d49cbb13db4b4e95910cb0edf3f729552025-08-20T03:00:46ZrusNaukaЛëд и снег2076-67342412-37652015-04-01534132210.15356/2076-6734-2013-4-13-22121Modeling the variation trends of glacier systemsZ. Xie0X. Wang1Q. Li2S. Liao3Y. Dai4College of Resources and Environment, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China;Department of Geography, Hunan University of Science & Technology, Xiangtan 411201, China;Hunan Meteorological Observatory, Changsha, Hunan Province 410118, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China;College of Resources and Environment, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China;The basic principles and methods for a functional glacier systems model are introduced and applied for glaciers of Northwest China. When running the model we assume that a glacier system is under steady state conditions in the initial year. The median size of a glacier system is used as representative for the system. The curve of glacier area distribution against elevation is used to compute the increase in equilibrium line altitude (ELA), and the annual glacier ablation is calculated using a global formula a = 1.33(9.66 + ts)².⁸⁵ [4, p. 96]. The net mass balance near the ELA under steady state conditions represents the net mass balance of the whole glacier system, and the time required for glacier runoff to return to the initial year level is calculated according to the law of glacier runoff variation, and used to calculate the variation of glacier area. The variation of glacier runoff is modeled according to ablation at the ELA, and the variation of glacier volume is modeled according to the absolute value of the mass balance. The observed changes in surveyed glaciers in China over recent decades were broadly consistent with predictions of the glacier system model. The model therefore offers a reliable method for the prediction of changes in glacier systems in response to changing climate.https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/127climate warmingfunctional modelglacier systemvariation trend
spellingShingle Z. Xie
X. Wang
Q. Li
S. Liao
Y. Dai
Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
Лëд и снег
climate warming
functional model
glacier system
variation trend
title Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
title_full Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
title_fullStr Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
title_short Modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
title_sort modeling the variation trends of glacier systems
topic climate warming
functional model
glacier system
variation trend
url https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/127
work_keys_str_mv AT zxie modelingthevariationtrendsofglaciersystems
AT xwang modelingthevariationtrendsofglaciersystems
AT qli modelingthevariationtrendsofglaciersystems
AT sliao modelingthevariationtrendsofglaciersystems
AT ydai modelingthevariationtrendsofglaciersystems