Small-coupling dynamic cavity: A Bayesian mean-field framework for epidemic inference
A novel generalized mean-field approximation, called the small-coupling dynamic cavity (SCDC) method, for epidemic inference and risk assessment is presented. The method is developed within a fully Bayesian framework and accounts for noncausal effects generated by the presence of observations. It is...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
American Physical Society
2025-04-01
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| Series: | Physical Review Research |
| Online Access: | http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.7.023089 |
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