Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador
We analysed data from the National Traffic Agency (ANT) of traffic accidents between 2017 and 2022 using a sample size of 76,300. We performed a logistic regression to evaluate the predictive factors for fatal traffic accidents. The results showed that women had a lower probability of dying than men...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590198225001940 |
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| author | Nicolás Acosta-González Sheyla Cahueñas Carolina Pérez |
| author_facet | Nicolás Acosta-González Sheyla Cahueñas Carolina Pérez |
| author_sort | Nicolás Acosta-González |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We analysed data from the National Traffic Agency (ANT) of traffic accidents between 2017 and 2022 using a sample size of 76,300. We performed a logistic regression to evaluate the predictive factors for fatal traffic accidents. The results showed that women had a lower probability of dying than men, and the probability of fatality was reduced on weekdays and in urban zones between 6:00 and 12:00 and when the affected people were aged under 60 years. The risks of death among passengers and pedestrians, accidents occurring during holidays, and accidents involving other types of vehicles were significantly higher compared to the counterparts. Depending on the type of accident, the risk of death increased in run-over, hit, crash, lane deviation, and overturning accidents; meanwhile, it decreased in passenger drop-off, collision, and friction accidents. We identified different factors that were associated with higher road accident fatalities, such as the hour of the day, zone, time of the week, sex, and age, which were significant factors that matched in each year of the study. The results suggest relevant patterns that require the enforcement of traffic regulations. Further controls regarding speeding, seat belt use, and helmet use for drivers and passengers to reduce injuries and fatalities. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d3de3e8be3a84bce80a385e1f54d588e |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2590-1982 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives |
| spelling | doaj-art-d3de3e8be3a84bce80a385e1f54d588e2025-08-22T04:57:46ZengElsevierTransportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives2590-19822025-07-013210151510.1016/j.trip.2025.101515Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in EcuadorNicolás Acosta-González0Sheyla Cahueñas1Carolina Pérez2Corresponding author.; Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Facultad de Economía y Gestión Empresarial, Quito, EcuadorPontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Facultad de Economía y Gestión Empresarial, Quito, EcuadorPontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Facultad de Economía y Gestión Empresarial, Quito, EcuadorWe analysed data from the National Traffic Agency (ANT) of traffic accidents between 2017 and 2022 using a sample size of 76,300. We performed a logistic regression to evaluate the predictive factors for fatal traffic accidents. The results showed that women had a lower probability of dying than men, and the probability of fatality was reduced on weekdays and in urban zones between 6:00 and 12:00 and when the affected people were aged under 60 years. The risks of death among passengers and pedestrians, accidents occurring during holidays, and accidents involving other types of vehicles were significantly higher compared to the counterparts. Depending on the type of accident, the risk of death increased in run-over, hit, crash, lane deviation, and overturning accidents; meanwhile, it decreased in passenger drop-off, collision, and friction accidents. We identified different factors that were associated with higher road accident fatalities, such as the hour of the day, zone, time of the week, sex, and age, which were significant factors that matched in each year of the study. The results suggest relevant patterns that require the enforcement of traffic regulations. Further controls regarding speeding, seat belt use, and helmet use for drivers and passengers to reduce injuries and fatalities.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590198225001940Road accidentFatalityRisk factorsEcuador |
| spellingShingle | Nicolás Acosta-González Sheyla Cahueñas Carolina Pérez Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives Road accident Fatality Risk factors Ecuador |
| title | Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador |
| title_full | Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador |
| title_fullStr | Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador |
| title_short | Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Ecuador |
| title_sort | risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in ecuador |
| topic | Road accident Fatality Risk factors Ecuador |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590198225001940 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT nicolasacostagonzalez riskfactorsforfatalroadtrafficaccidentsinecuador AT sheylacahuenas riskfactorsforfatalroadtrafficaccidentsinecuador AT carolinaperez riskfactorsforfatalroadtrafficaccidentsinecuador |