A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets

The Chinese commodity futures markets neglect the existence of the risk hedge and diversification between futures contracts, thus leading to overcharge futures portfolio holders’ maintenance margins. To this end, this paper proposes a new method, namely, the multivariate t-Copula-POT-PSRM method, wh...

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Main Authors: Chi Xie, Jiao-Jiao Yang, Gang-Jin Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/325975
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author Chi Xie
Jiao-Jiao Yang
Gang-Jin Wang
author_facet Chi Xie
Jiao-Jiao Yang
Gang-Jin Wang
author_sort Chi Xie
collection DOAJ
description The Chinese commodity futures markets neglect the existence of the risk hedge and diversification between futures contracts, thus leading to overcharge futures portfolio holders’ maintenance margins. To this end, this paper proposes a new method, namely, the multivariate t-Copula-POT-PSRM method, which combines three models, that is, the multivariate t-Copula, the peaks over threshold (POT), and the power spectral risk measures (PSRM), to set futures portfolios’ maintenance margins. In the empirical analysis, we first construct four kinds of futures portfolios and set their maintenance margins by using the new method. Then, we introduce two evaluation indicators, namely, the prudence index (PI) and the opportunity cost index (OCI), to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method. We also compare the outcomes of the two evaluation indicators of the new method with those of the widely used linear additive model. The empirical results show that the new method can, respectively, lower the OCI value of all four kinds of futures portfolios for the In-sample period and the Out-of-sample period without significantly reducing the PI value as against the traditional model, which implies that the proposed method can be used to balance security and investment efficiency in the futures market.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-d3194275897f4dbe94900eb63ee6eb102025-08-20T03:24:12ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422014-01-01201410.1155/2014/325975325975A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures MarketsChi Xie0Jiao-Jiao Yang1Gang-Jin Wang2College of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, ChinaCollege of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, ChinaCollege of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, ChinaThe Chinese commodity futures markets neglect the existence of the risk hedge and diversification between futures contracts, thus leading to overcharge futures portfolio holders’ maintenance margins. To this end, this paper proposes a new method, namely, the multivariate t-Copula-POT-PSRM method, which combines three models, that is, the multivariate t-Copula, the peaks over threshold (POT), and the power spectral risk measures (PSRM), to set futures portfolios’ maintenance margins. In the empirical analysis, we first construct four kinds of futures portfolios and set their maintenance margins by using the new method. Then, we introduce two evaluation indicators, namely, the prudence index (PI) and the opportunity cost index (OCI), to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method. We also compare the outcomes of the two evaluation indicators of the new method with those of the widely used linear additive model. The empirical results show that the new method can, respectively, lower the OCI value of all four kinds of futures portfolios for the In-sample period and the Out-of-sample period without significantly reducing the PI value as against the traditional model, which implies that the proposed method can be used to balance security and investment efficiency in the futures market.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/325975
spellingShingle Chi Xie
Jiao-Jiao Yang
Gang-Jin Wang
A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets
title_full A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets
title_fullStr A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets
title_full_unstemmed A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets
title_short A New Method for Setting Futures Portfolios’ Maintenance Margins: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets
title_sort new method for setting futures portfolios maintenance margins evidence from chinese commodity futures markets
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/325975
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