A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies

This study investigates the impact of fossil fuel industry on renewable energy deployment in emerging oil-producing economies, using Ghana as the subject of analysis. Drawing on the “theory of lobby,” the study extends previous analyses to examine how fossil fuel production influences the possibilit...

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Main Authors: Isaac Ankrah, Michael Appiah-Kubi, Eric Ofosu Antwi, Ivy Drafor Amenyah, Mohammed Musah, Frank Gyimah Sackey, Richard Asravor, Isaiah Sikayena
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024173185
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author Isaac Ankrah
Michael Appiah-Kubi
Eric Ofosu Antwi
Ivy Drafor Amenyah
Mohammed Musah
Frank Gyimah Sackey
Richard Asravor
Isaiah Sikayena
author_facet Isaac Ankrah
Michael Appiah-Kubi
Eric Ofosu Antwi
Ivy Drafor Amenyah
Mohammed Musah
Frank Gyimah Sackey
Richard Asravor
Isaiah Sikayena
author_sort Isaac Ankrah
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the impact of fossil fuel industry on renewable energy deployment in emerging oil-producing economies, using Ghana as the subject of analysis. Drawing on the “theory of lobby,” the study extends previous analyses to examine how fossil fuel production influences the possibility of transitioning to renewable energy. The results, based on a stepwise estimation technique, within a two-regime Markov-switching Model, show a consistent negative relationship between fossil fuel production and renewable energy deployment, supporting the lobby effect theory in Ghana's energy economy. Notably, while fossil fuel production initially increases the probability of transitioning to renewable energy (from 39.65 % to 58.42 %), this trend is reversed by foreign direct investment, reducing the likelihood to approximately 42 %. These findings underscore the need to expand the lobby-effect theory to include indirect economic influences, such as investment patterns and structural dependencies, that enable fossil fuel dominance. Through its focus on Ghana, this study contributes fresh insights into the energy transition dynamics of emerging economies, offering a broader and more inclusive perspective to the energy transition literature.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2405-8440
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publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Heliyon
spelling doaj-art-d2ed837dcfa646c9972b572ee24ee8592025-01-17T04:50:48ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-01-01111e41287A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economiesIsaac Ankrah0Michael Appiah-Kubi1Eric Ofosu Antwi2Ivy Drafor Amenyah3Mohammed Musah4Frank Gyimah Sackey5Richard Asravor6Isaiah Sikayena7Department of Economics, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, Ghana; Corresponding author. Department of Economics, Business School, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, Ghana.African Urban Research Center, Accra, GhanaDepartment of Energy and Environmental Engineering, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, GhanaDepartment of Economics, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, GhanaDepartment of Accounting, Banking and Finance, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, GhanaDepartment of Economics, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, GhanaDepartment of Economics, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, GhanaDepartment of Economics, Ghana Communication Technology University, Accra, GhanaThis study investigates the impact of fossil fuel industry on renewable energy deployment in emerging oil-producing economies, using Ghana as the subject of analysis. Drawing on the “theory of lobby,” the study extends previous analyses to examine how fossil fuel production influences the possibility of transitioning to renewable energy. The results, based on a stepwise estimation technique, within a two-regime Markov-switching Model, show a consistent negative relationship between fossil fuel production and renewable energy deployment, supporting the lobby effect theory in Ghana's energy economy. Notably, while fossil fuel production initially increases the probability of transitioning to renewable energy (from 39.65 % to 58.42 %), this trend is reversed by foreign direct investment, reducing the likelihood to approximately 42 %. These findings underscore the need to expand the lobby-effect theory to include indirect economic influences, such as investment patterns and structural dependencies, that enable fossil fuel dominance. Through its focus on Ghana, this study contributes fresh insights into the energy transition dynamics of emerging economies, offering a broader and more inclusive perspective to the energy transition literature.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024173185Emerging economiesGhanaFossil fuel industryRenewable energyLobby effect theoryMarkov-switching Model
spellingShingle Isaac Ankrah
Michael Appiah-Kubi
Eric Ofosu Antwi
Ivy Drafor Amenyah
Mohammed Musah
Frank Gyimah Sackey
Richard Asravor
Isaiah Sikayena
A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies
Heliyon
Emerging economies
Ghana
Fossil fuel industry
Renewable energy
Lobby effect theory
Markov-switching Model
title A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies
title_full A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies
title_fullStr A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies
title_full_unstemmed A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies
title_short A spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil-producing economies
title_sort spotlight on fossil fuel lobby and energy transition possibilities in emerging oil producing economies
topic Emerging economies
Ghana
Fossil fuel industry
Renewable energy
Lobby effect theory
Markov-switching Model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024173185
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