Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment

Evolution problem is now a hot topic in the mathematical biology field. This paper investigates the adaptive evolution of pathogen virulence in a susceptible-infected (SI) model under drug treatment. We explore the evolution of a continuous trait, virulence of a pathogen, and consider virulence-depe...

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Main Authors: Xinzhu Meng, Yang Yang, Shengnan Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/891401
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author Xinzhu Meng
Yang Yang
Shengnan Zhao
author_facet Xinzhu Meng
Yang Yang
Shengnan Zhao
author_sort Xinzhu Meng
collection DOAJ
description Evolution problem is now a hot topic in the mathematical biology field. This paper investigates the adaptive evolution of pathogen virulence in a susceptible-infected (SI) model under drug treatment. We explore the evolution of a continuous trait, virulence of a pathogen, and consider virulence-dependent cure rate (recovery rate) that dramatically affects the outcome of evolution. With the methods of critical function analysis and adaptive dynamics, we identify the evolutionary conditions for continuously stable strategies, evolutionary repellers, and evolutionary branching points. First, the results show that a high-intensity strength drug treatment can result in evolutionary branching and the evolution of pathogen strains will tend towards a higher virulence with the increase of the strength of the treatment. Second, we use the critical function analysis to investigate the evolution of virulence-related traits and show that evolutionary outcomes strongly depend on the shape of the trade-off between virulence and transmission. Third, after evolutionary branching, the two infective species will evolve to an evolutionarily stable dimorphism at which they can continue to coexist, and no further branching is possible, which is independent of the cure rate function.
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spelling doaj-art-d1b48cfc327e40dbbc811cec810476bb2025-08-20T03:23:59ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092014-01-01201410.1155/2014/891401891401Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with TreatmentXinzhu Meng0Yang Yang1Shengnan Zhao2College of Mathematics and Systems Science, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, ChinaCollege of Mathematics and Systems Science, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, ChinaCollege of Mathematics and Systems Science, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, ChinaEvolution problem is now a hot topic in the mathematical biology field. This paper investigates the adaptive evolution of pathogen virulence in a susceptible-infected (SI) model under drug treatment. We explore the evolution of a continuous trait, virulence of a pathogen, and consider virulence-dependent cure rate (recovery rate) that dramatically affects the outcome of evolution. With the methods of critical function analysis and adaptive dynamics, we identify the evolutionary conditions for continuously stable strategies, evolutionary repellers, and evolutionary branching points. First, the results show that a high-intensity strength drug treatment can result in evolutionary branching and the evolution of pathogen strains will tend towards a higher virulence with the increase of the strength of the treatment. Second, we use the critical function analysis to investigate the evolution of virulence-related traits and show that evolutionary outcomes strongly depend on the shape of the trade-off between virulence and transmission. Third, after evolutionary branching, the two infective species will evolve to an evolutionarily stable dimorphism at which they can continue to coexist, and no further branching is possible, which is independent of the cure rate function.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/891401
spellingShingle Xinzhu Meng
Yang Yang
Shengnan Zhao
Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment
title_full Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment
title_fullStr Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment
title_full_unstemmed Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment
title_short Adaptive Evolution of Virulence-Related Traits in a Susceptible-Infected Model with Treatment
title_sort adaptive evolution of virulence related traits in a susceptible infected model with treatment
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/891401
work_keys_str_mv AT xinzhumeng adaptiveevolutionofvirulencerelatedtraitsinasusceptibleinfectedmodelwithtreatment
AT yangyang adaptiveevolutionofvirulencerelatedtraitsinasusceptibleinfectedmodelwithtreatment
AT shengnanzhao adaptiveevolutionofvirulencerelatedtraitsinasusceptibleinfectedmodelwithtreatment