Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma

Summary: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) early identification is crucial for improving patient outcomes. Current screening methods are often complex and costly. This study developed a simplified, cost-effective HCC screening model using serum marker data. A diverse study population from two Chinese h...

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Main Authors: Wenmin Liao, Wenbin Lin, Zhonglian He, Chenyang Feng, Yuying Liu, Zixian Wang, Ruizhi Wang, Meifang He, Shuqin Dai, Ying Sun, Wei Wei, Peisong Chen, Chaofeng Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:iScience
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258900422500241X
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author Wenmin Liao
Wenbin Lin
Zhonglian He
Chenyang Feng
Yuying Liu
Zixian Wang
Ruizhi Wang
Meifang He
Shuqin Dai
Ying Sun
Wei Wei
Peisong Chen
Chaofeng Li
author_facet Wenmin Liao
Wenbin Lin
Zhonglian He
Chenyang Feng
Yuying Liu
Zixian Wang
Ruizhi Wang
Meifang He
Shuqin Dai
Ying Sun
Wei Wei
Peisong Chen
Chaofeng Li
author_sort Wenmin Liao
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) early identification is crucial for improving patient outcomes. Current screening methods are often complex and costly. This study developed a simplified, cost-effective HCC screening model using serum marker data. A diverse study population from two Chinese hospitals was recruited, including cancer patients, hospital patients, and healthy individuals. A two-stage screening model was created: LASSO logistic regression for preliminary screening, followed by logistic regression incorporating alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). The model’s performance was evaluated in multiple cohorts. Across five populations, the model showed strong performance with AUC-ROC ranging from 0.868 to 0.907, accuracy between 87.43% and 96.96%, and sensitivity over 75% with specificity above 90%. Compared with solely AFP models, the second-stage model improved HCC risk estimates in healthy populations, with significantly higher AUC (0.930 vs. 0.827) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) up to 56.2%. This two-stage model offers a practical, cost-efficient tool for early HCC detection, addressing a significant public health need.
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spelling doaj-art-d182277221ad4e9cb50c9dc7d4d389532025-08-20T02:14:54ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422025-03-0128311198110.1016/j.isci.2025.111981Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinomaWenmin Liao0Wenbin Lin1Zhonglian He2Chenyang Feng3Yuying Liu4Zixian Wang5Ruizhi Wang6Meifang He7Shuqin Dai8Ying Sun9Wei Wei10Peisong Chen11Chaofeng Li12State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Information Technology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P. R. ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510080, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Information Technology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P. R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Information Technology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P. R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Medical Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P. R. ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510080, ChinaLaboratory of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510080, P. R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Clinical Laboratory, Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P. R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Hepatobiliary Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China; Corresponding authorDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China; Corresponding authorState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P.R. China; Department of Information Technology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, P. R. China; Corresponding authorSummary: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) early identification is crucial for improving patient outcomes. Current screening methods are often complex and costly. This study developed a simplified, cost-effective HCC screening model using serum marker data. A diverse study population from two Chinese hospitals was recruited, including cancer patients, hospital patients, and healthy individuals. A two-stage screening model was created: LASSO logistic regression for preliminary screening, followed by logistic regression incorporating alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). The model’s performance was evaluated in multiple cohorts. Across five populations, the model showed strong performance with AUC-ROC ranging from 0.868 to 0.907, accuracy between 87.43% and 96.96%, and sensitivity over 75% with specificity above 90%. Compared with solely AFP models, the second-stage model improved HCC risk estimates in healthy populations, with significantly higher AUC (0.930 vs. 0.827) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) up to 56.2%. This two-stage model offers a practical, cost-efficient tool for early HCC detection, addressing a significant public health need.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258900422500241XPublic healthCancer
spellingShingle Wenmin Liao
Wenbin Lin
Zhonglian He
Chenyang Feng
Yuying Liu
Zixian Wang
Ruizhi Wang
Meifang He
Shuqin Dai
Ying Sun
Wei Wei
Peisong Chen
Chaofeng Li
Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
iScience
Public health
Cancer
title Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
title_full Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
title_fullStr Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
title_full_unstemmed Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
title_short Serum-biomarker-based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
title_sort serum biomarker based population screening model for hepatocellular carcinoma
topic Public health
Cancer
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258900422500241X
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